---
title: "Dante case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dante ($1,460.68) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 30 items with odds, observed 55.11% over 16 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dante](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dante

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=all)

Price · $1,460.68 · 2,087 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $1,327.89 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 55.11% · 16 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 15 openings · below min

30 days · 16 openings · below min

since tracking started · 16 openings · below min

-0.5% 71.8% 144.0%

**Small sample.** 16 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=7d) | 15 | 52.64% ±90.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante) | 16 | 55.11% ±87.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dante?window=all) | 16 | 55.11% ±87.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Pascha sticker (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new-pascha-sticker-factory-new) | 1 in 40,000 | $385K 550,000 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) Titan (Holo) + 3x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-titan-holo-3x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $56K 80,000 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $31.5K 45,000 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $30.1K 42,950 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $22.8K 32,500 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $21K 30,000 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 6,667 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,534 13,620 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,481 | $7,455 10,650 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $7,297 10,425 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 4,444 | $6,657 9,510 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $6,188 8,840 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $5,600 8,000 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,250 | $4,669 6,670 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4,365 6,235 coins | 8.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 54 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $4,263 6,090 coins | 12.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 14 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2,454 3,505 coins | 6.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 37 | $2,401 3,430 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 40 | $2,100 3,000 coins | 4.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1,932 2,760 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 22 | $1,648 2,354 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 11.1% | $1,301 1,859 coins | 10.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $174 249 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 25.0% | $158 226 coins | 3.0% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $121 173 coins | 1.4% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.08× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $4,007 5,725 coins 2.73x 2026-11-05 17:50 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $2,461 3,515 coins 1.68x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $2,170 3,100 coins 1.48x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC

[Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $1,352 1,931 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC

[Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $1,352 1,931 coins 0.92x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dante)

[★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $162 231 coins 0.11x 2026-11-06 20:08 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [Fslayer90](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fslayer90) $1,467 2,095 coins $174 249 coins 0.12x 2026-11-06 20:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $4,007 5,725 coins 2.73x 2026-11-05 17:50 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $2,170 3,100 coins 1.48x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $122 174 coins 0.08x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $122 174 coins 0.08x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,467 2,095 coins $122 174 coins 0.08x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $162 231 coins 0.11x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $2,461 3,515 coins 1.68x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,467 2,095 coins $122 174 coins 0.08x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,461 | 90.91% | 30 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,467 | 90.91% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.9% extraordinary 0.0% remarkable 0.0% covert 69.8% contraband 3.3% high 7.0% epic 3.0% rare 15.0% best hit $4,007 (2.73x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt