---
title: "Deagles Only case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Deagles Only ($57.36) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 22 items with odds, observed 85.89% over 368 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Deagles Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Deagles Only

A case on CSGORoll (pistols), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=all)

Price · $57.36 · 81.95 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $52.15 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.89% · 368 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 88.96% ±17.29 299 openings

30 days · 85.89% ±15.63 368 openings

since tracking started · 85.89% ±15.63 368 openings

10.0% 80.3% 150.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=24h) | 18 | 80.29% ±69.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=7d) | 299 | 88.96% ±17.3 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only) | 368 | 85.89% ±15.6 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deagles-only?window=all) | 368 | 85.89% ±15.6 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 368 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $563 804 coins | 3.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $552 788 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $430 614 coins | 3.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $400 571 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $378 540 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $334 477 coins | 6.4% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $170 243 coins | 6.5% | 5 | 7.4 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $167 239 coins | 6.4% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $159 227 coins | 3.0% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $132 188 coins | 12.6% | 16 | 18.4 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $93.80 134 coins | 11.3% | 30 | 23.2 | 1.29× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $84.00 120 coins | 8.1% | 26 | 18.4 | 1.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $70.70 101 coins | 8.1% | 15 | 22.1 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $59.44 84.91 coins | 6.8% | 28 | 22.1 | 1.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $21.61 30.87 coins | 2.5% | 25 | 22.1 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $16.08 22.97 coins | 2.2% | 22 | 25.8 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $15.79 22.56 coins | 1.8% | 24 | 22.1 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $5.03 7.19 coins | 0.7% | 22 | 25.8 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.26 4.65 coins | 0.4% | 21 | 25.8 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.27 1.82 coins | 0.2% | 36 | 36.8 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.60 0.86 coins | 0.1% | 42 | 36.8 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.48 0.69 coins | 0.1% | 33 | 36.8 | 0.90× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Dan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dan) $56.60 80.86 coins $573 818 coins 10.12x 2026-11-08 06:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $56.60 80.86 coins $573 818 coins 10.12x 2026-11-07 06:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $56.60 80.86 coins $573 818 coins 10.12x 2026-11-03 18:15 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=deagles-only)

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $0.60 0.86 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [miami](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/miami) $57.36 81.95 coins $5.03 7.19 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $59.44 84.91 coins 1.04x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $93.80 134 coins 1.64x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $15.79 22.56 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $57.36 81.95 coins $84.00 120 coins 1.46x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $57.36 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $57.37 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $56.56 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $56.60 | 90.91% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.3% restricted 24.7% covert 4.0% classified 22.0% industrial 12.0% Legendary 7.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit $573 (10.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt