--- title: "Decimator case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Decimator ($48.71) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 84.95% over 47 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Decimator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Decimator A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=all) Price · $48.71 · 69.59 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $44.28 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.95% · 47 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 33.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 47 openings · below min since tracking started · 47 openings · below min 62.5% 89.0% 115.5% **Small sample.** 47 openings and 15.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=7d) | 19 | 88.95% ±25.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator) | 47 | 84.95% ±16.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/decimator?window=all) | 47 | 84.95% ±16.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $482 689 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $194 277 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $156 223 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $115 165 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $113 162 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $98.70 141 coins | 7.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $89.60 128 coins | 11.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $60.39 86.27 coins | 9.5% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $41.85 59.78 coins | 11.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.71× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 20.0% | $40.83 58.33 coins | 18.4% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $39.78 56.83 coins | 8.1% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $28.72 41.03 coins | 11.7% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.06× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $17.47 24.95 coins | 7.9% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.28× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=decimator) [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $41.85 59.78 coins 0.86x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $156 223 coins 3.20x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $41.85 59.78 coins 0.86x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) [Miltsukkaaaw :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Miltsukkaaaw%20%3A3) $48.71 69.59 coins $28.72 41.03 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $17.47 24.95 coins 0.36x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $17.47 24.95 coins 0.36x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $40.83 58.33 coins 0.84x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $40.83 58.33 coins 0.84x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.71 69.59 coins $28.72 41.03 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) [🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20Activ3C0ma) $48.71 69.59 coins $17.47 24.95 coins 0.36x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.71 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $49.35 | 90.92% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $49.52 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 24.3% restricted 1.7% classified 65.0% extraordinary 9.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt