---
title: "Deep Dive case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Deep Dive ($304.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 22 items with odds, observed 87.04% over 18 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Deep Dive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Deep Dive

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=all)

Price · $304.00 · 434 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $276.36 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.04% · 18 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 18 openings · below min

30 days · 18 openings · below min

since tracking started · 18 openings · below min

27.0% 87.0% 147.0%

**Small sample.** 18 openings and 5.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=7d) | 18 | 87.04% ±59.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive) | 18 | 87.04% ±59.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/deep-dive?window=all) | 18 | 87.04% ±59.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $3,311 4,730 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 435 | $2,982 4,260 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $2,895 4,135 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $1,724 2,463 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $1,411 2,015 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $1,373 1,962 coins | 8.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $517 738 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $409 584 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $279 398 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) | 25.0% | $276 394 coins | 24.9% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $264 377 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $255 364 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $246 352 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) | 25.0% | $244 348 coins | 22.0% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $222 317 coins | 2.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $183 261 coins | 3.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $155 221 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $151 216 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 25.0% | $112 160 coins | 10.1% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $307 439 coins $1,378 1,968 coins 4.48x 2026-11-05 02:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=deep-dive)

[AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $307 439 coins $112 160 coins 0.36x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $307 439 coins $183 261 coins 0.59x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $307 439 coins $112 160 coins 0.36x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $307 439 coins $112 160 coins 0.36x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $307 439 coins $206 294 coins 0.67x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) [I lost my MBA tuition fee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/I%20lost%20my%20MBA%20tuition%20fee) $307 439 coins $281 402 coins 0.92x 2026-11-07 16:01 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) Hidden $307 439 coins $244 348 coins 0.79x 2026-11-05 22:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) Hidden $307 439 coins $281 402 coins 0.92x 2026-11-05 22:31 UTC

[AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $307 439 coins $112 160 coins 0.36x 2026-11-05 22:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) [ItayXD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ItayXD) $307 439 coins $281 402 coins 0.92x 2026-11-05 22:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $304 | 90.91% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $307 | 90.91% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.9% high 0.1% legendary 4.3% extraordinary 15.6% restricted 50.0% rare 4.0% classified 25.0% best hit $1,378 (4.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt