--- title: "Dented case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dented ($482.64) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 40.93% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dented](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dented A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=all) Price · $482.64 · 689 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $438.76 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 40.93% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 76.8% 154.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented) | 4 | 40.93% ±112.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented?window=all) | 4 | 40.93% ±112.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $2,909 4,155 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,454 3,505 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,114 1,591 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $860 1,228 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $856 1,223 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $827 1,182 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $566 808 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $532 760 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $409 584 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $377 539 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $360 514 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $346 494 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 15.0% | $186 265 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 17.5% | $152 217 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 15.0% | $142 203 coins | 4.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $130 186 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dented) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $483 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $490 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 70.5% extraordinary 6.5% classified 6.0% legendary 4.0% restricted 6.0% epic 7.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt