--- title: "Dipped case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dipped ($15.66) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 10 items with odds, observed 104.65% over 3,768 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped rendered: 2026-11-11T14:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dipped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dipped A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=all) Price · $15.66 · 22.37 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $14.23 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.65% · 3,768 openings, odds method Variance · 34.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.87% ±57.68 394 openings 7 days · 109.31% ±20.18 3,179 openings 30 days · 104.65% ±18.52 3,768 openings since tracking started · 104.65% ±18.52 3,768 openings 40.5% 98.8% 157.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=24h) | 394 | 98.87% ±57.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=7d) | 3,179 | 109.31% ±20.2 | +1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped) | 3,768 | 104.65% ±18.5 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dipped?window=all) | 3,768 | 104.65% ±18.5 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,768 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,455 10,650 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 400 | $855 1,221 coins | 15.0% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $334 477 coins | 18.8% | 39 | 30.1 | 1.29× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $93.10 133 coins | 9.4% | 61 | 54.3 | 1.12× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $42.90 61.28 coins | 7.5% | 102 | 94.2 | 1.08× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $28.72 41.03 coins | 14.1% | 260 | 263.8 | 0.99× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $27.65 39.5 coins | 5.8% | 118 | 113.0 | 1.04× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $26.67 38.1 coins | 3.7% | 87 | 75.4 | 1.15× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $17.47 24.95 coins | 9.8% | 334 | 301.4 | 1.11× | | [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 75.0% | $1.99 2.85 coins | 10.5% | 2,758 | 2826.0 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Ah Barnicles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ah%20Barnicles) $16.00 22.85 coins $7,455 10,650 coins 466.1x 2026-11-08 00:56 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $16.00 22.85 coins $874 1,248 coins 54.62x 2026-11-08 08:19 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $16.00 22.85 coins $874 1,248 coins 54.62x 2026-11-07 15:44 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $16.00 22.85 coins $874 1,248 coins 54.62x 2026-11-07 05:01 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $16.00 22.85 coins $874 1,248 coins 54.62x 2026-11-06 18:57 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $855 1,221 coins 54.58x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $855 1,221 coins 54.58x 2026-11-10 04:03 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $855 1,221 coins 54.58x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $855 1,221 coins 54.58x 2026-11-09 15:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dipped) [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $15.66 22.37 coins $27.65 39.5 coins 1.77x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.66 22.37 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.66 | 90.90% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.79 | 90.89% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.00 | 90.90% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.7% restricted 0.8% classified 95.5% extraordinary 2.0% best hit $7,455 (466.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt