--- title: "Divided case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Divided ($189.13) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 92.90% over 63 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Divided](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Divided A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=all) Price · $189.13 · 270 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $171.93 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.90% · 63 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 58 openings · below min 30 days · 63 openings · below min since tracking started · 63 openings · below min 45.0% 88.0% 131.0% **Small sample.** 63 openings and 8.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=7d) | 58 | 84.91% ±39.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided) | 63 | 92.90% ±37.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/divided?window=all) | 63 | 92.90% ±37.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 63 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,023 7,175 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,895 4,135 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,551 2,216 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,301 1,859 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| BnTeT (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bntet-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 56 | $1,069 1,527 coins | 11.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $827 1,182 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $627 895 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $587 838 coins | 23.9% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $561 801 coins | 6.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.59× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 222 | $509 727 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $509 727 coins | 3.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $429 613 coins | 6.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.90× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $246 352 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $223 318 coins | 6.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $183 261 coins | 8.5% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.19× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $142 203 coins | 7.6% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $111 158 coins | 5.8% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.76× | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 50.0% | $4.74 6.77 coins | 1.4% | 31 | 31.5 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $188 268 coins $2,762 3,945 coins 14.70x 2026-11-07 17:55 UTC [Sticker | BnTeT (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bntet-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $188 268 coins $1,069 1,527 coins 5.69x 2026-11-03 22:05 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vuitton) $189 270 coins $627 895 coins 3.31x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $188 268 coins $557 795 coins 2.96x 2026-11-07 17:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $188 268 coins $557 795 coins 2.96x 2026-11-04 12:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $188 268 coins $536 766 coins 2.85x 2026-11-06 14:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=divided) [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vuitton) $189 270 coins $429 613 coins 2.27x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-well-worn) Hidden $189 270 coins $111 158 coins 0.58x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vuitton) $189 270 coins $627 895 coins 3.31x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) Hidden $189 270 coins $4.74 6.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $189 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $189 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $188 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 17.4% legendary 1.7% extraordinary 22.8% rare 8.0% industrial 50.0% best hit $2,762 (14.70x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt