--- title: "Dizzy case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dizzy ($80.30) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 78.50% over 102 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dizzy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dizzy A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=all) Price · $80.30 · 115 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $73.00 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.50% · 102 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 78.50% ±38.90 102 openings 30 days · 78.50% ±38.90 102 openings since tracking started · 78.50% ±38.90 102 openings 24.0% 85.5% 147.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=24h) | 42 | 85.43% ±60.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=7d) | 102 | 78.50% ±38.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy) | 102 | 78.50% ±38.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dizzy?window=all) | 102 | 78.50% ±38.9 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50,000 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $14.4K 20,545 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,025 5,750 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,775 2,535 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,065 1,521 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $630 900 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $568 812 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $472 674 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 400 | $356 508 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $328 469 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $205 293 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $190 271 coins | 3.2% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.57× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $174 249 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $108 154 coins | 36.9% | 20 | 25.5 | 0.78× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $105 150 coins | 5.0% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.12× | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 25.0% | $77.00 110 coins | 26.4% | 30 | 25.5 | 1.18× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $55.94 79.92 coins | 4.4% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $53.04 75.77 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.25× | | [AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $24.95 35.64 coins | 1.5% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.53× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $16.93 24.18 coins | 0.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [MP7 \| Nemesis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-field-tested) | 25.0% | $5.28 7.55 coins | 1.8% | 31 | 25.5 | 1.22× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dizzy) [MP7 | Nemesis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-field-tested) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $5.28 7.55 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $108 154 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $108 154 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $108 154 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $77.00 110 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [Blair](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Blair) $80.30 115 coins $55.94 79.92 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $105 150 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 05:07 UTC [M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $77.00 110 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 05:07 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $108 154 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 05:07 UTC [AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) Hidden $80.30 115 coins $24.95 35.64 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 05:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $80.30 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $80.23 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $80.85 | 90.91% | 21 | | 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $81.79 | 90.91% | 21 | | 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $81.74 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $81.69 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.0% contraband 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 68.3% legendary 0.2% restricted 6.5% classified 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt