---
title: "Dolce Vita case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dolce Vita ($20.92) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 19 items with odds, observed 93.79% over 1,718 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dolce Vita](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dolce Vita

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=all)

Price · $20.92 · 29.88 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $19.02 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.79% · 1,718 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.97% ±18.79 106 openings

7 days · 94.11% ±5.62 1,196 openings

30 days · 93.79% ±4.69 1,718 openings

since tracking started · 93.79% ±4.69 1,718 openings

60.5% 80.5% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=24h) | 106 | 79.97% ±18.8 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=7d) | 1,196 | 94.11% ±5.62 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita) | 1,718 | 93.79% ±4.69 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dolce-vita?window=all) | 1,718 | 93.79% ±4.69 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,718 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 16,667 | $172 246 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $163 233 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 2,857 | $147 210 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,538 | $144 205 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,176 | $124 177 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $108 154 coins | 6.5% | 18 | 19.8 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $84.00 120 coins | 6.0% | 25 | 23.2 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $60.86 86.95 coins | 11.4% | 68 | 61.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $59.85 85.5 coins | 12.4% | 69 | 67.9 | 1.02× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $45.42 64.89 coins | 9.6% | 71 | 68.7 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| ESC Gaming \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esc-gaming-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 18 | $32.64 46.63 coins | 9.6% | 111 | 96.2 | 1.15× |
| [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 15 | $22.11 31.58 coins | 7.8% | 115 | 115.1 | 1.00× |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $15.04 21.49 coins | 6.2% | 136 | 135.7 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $15.03 21.47 coins | 7.3% | 179 | 158.9 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $10.79 15.42 coins | 5.4% | 185 | 163.2 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| pita \| Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pita-cologne-2016) | 11.2% | $10.75 15.36 coins | 6.3% | 173 | 192.4 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| Ocean Sunset Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-flick-holo) | 11.7% | $5.55 7.93 coins | 3.4% | 177 | 200.1 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| S0tF1k (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-foil-katowice-2019) | 12.0% | $5.52 7.88 coins | 3.5% | 187 | 206.2 | 0.91× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $5.01 7.15 coins | 3.2% | 201 | 206.2 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dolce-vita)

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $10.79 15.42 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $15.03 21.47 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) [Shiba inu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shiba%20inu) $20.92 29.88 coins $10.79 15.42 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[Sticker | S0tF1k (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $5.52 7.88 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[Sticker | S0tF1k (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-foil-katowice-2019) [Shiba inu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shiba%20inu) $20.92 29.88 coins $5.52 7.88 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[Sticker | ESC Gaming | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esc-gaming-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $32.64 46.63 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[Sticker | pita | Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pita-cologne-2016) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $10.75 15.36 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $10.79 15.42 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $59.85 85.5 coins 2.86x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[Sticker | OpTic Gaming | Atlanta 2017 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-atlanta-2017) Hidden $20.92 29.88 coins $22.11 31.58 coins 1.06x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.92 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.24 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.20 | 90.92% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.2% epic 0.0% restricted 17.5% mil spec 1.4% rare 3.5% uncommon 4.0% high 23.5% classified 21.3% remarkable 23.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt