--- title: "Doom case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Doom ($43.36) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 84.00% over 9,287 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Doom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Doom A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=all) Price · $43.36 · 61.94 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $39.41 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.00% · 9,287 openings, odds method Variance · 47.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 91 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.10% ±46.97 832 openings 7 days · 83.18% ±15.76 7,333 openings 30 days · 84.00% ±13.99 9,287 openings since tracking started · 84.00% ±13.99 9,287 openings 33.5% 81.0% 128.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=24h) | 832 | 81.10% ±47.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=7d) | 7,333 | 83.18% ±15.8 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom) | 9,287 | 84.00% ±14.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/doom?window=all) | 9,287 | 84.00% ±14.0 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,287 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,000 10,000 coins | 8.9% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,790 9,700 coins | 17.2% | 6 | 9.3 | 0.65× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 11.5% | 30 | 32.5 | 0.92× | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $1,066 1,523 coins | 16.2% | 50 | 55.7 | 0.90× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $743 1,061 coins | 9.4% | 38 | 46.4 | 0.82× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $676 966 coins | 2.6% | 22 | 13.9 | 1.58× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $636 909 coins | 4.0% | 29 | 23.2 | 1.25× | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $576 823 coins | 14.6% | 104 | 92.9 | 1.12× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $160 229 coins | 4.1% | 84 | 92.9 | 0.90× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $76.30 109 coins | 1.9% | 89 | 92.9 | 0.96× | | [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $6.94 9.91 coins | 5.3% | 2,809 | 2786.1 | 1.01× | | [Dual Berettas \| Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) | 30.0% | $4.69 6.7 coins | 3.6% | 2,791 | 2786.1 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 35.0% | $0.78 1.12 coins | 0.7% | 3,231 | 3250.5 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 161.4x 2026-11-09 06:57 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 161.4x 2026-11-09 06:32 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 161.4x 2026-11-09 03:27 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $43.71 62.45 coins $6,916 9,880 coins 158.2x 2026-11-04 11:23 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $43.71 62.45 coins $6,829 9,755 coins 156.2x 2026-11-03 10:33 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $43.36 61.94 coins $6,790 9,700 coins 156.6x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6,790 9,700 coins 156.6x 2026-11-10 12:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6,790 9,700 coins 156.6x 2026-11-10 04:47 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6,790 9,700 coins 156.6x 2026-11-09 06:29 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6,790 9,700 coins 156.6x 2026-11-09 05:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=doom) [Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $4.69 6.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $4.69 6.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6.94 9.91 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $4.69 6.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6.94 9.91 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) [Relaxa \*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Relaxa%20*-7036790) $43.36 61.94 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 29.79x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $0.78 1.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $4.69 6.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-factory-new) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $4.69 6.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.36 61.94 coins $6.94 9.91 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $43.36 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $43.49 | 90.91% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $43.71 | 90.90% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $43.71 | 90.92% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.1% covert 4.5% extraordinary 0.5% classified 30.0% mil spec 30.0% restricted 35.0% best hit $7,000 (161.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt