--- title: "Dreamland case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dreamland ($2.63) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.85% from 8 items with odds, observed 89.63% over 97.8K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dreamland](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dreamland A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=all) Price · $2.63 · 3.75 coins Advertised RTP · 90.85% · EV $2.38 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.63% · 97.8K openings, odds method Variance · 18.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.51% ±8.19 10.6K openings 7 days · 89.29% ±3.04 79K openings 30 days · 89.63% ±2.74 97.8K openings since tracking started · 89.63% ±2.74 97.8K openings 77.5% 86.5% 95.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=24h) | 10.6K | 86.51% ±8.19 | −1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=7d) | 79K | 89.29% ±3.04 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland) | 97.8K | 89.63% ±2.74 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dreamland?window=all) | 97.8K | 89.63% ±2.74 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 97.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $226 323 coins | 9.5% | 88 | 97.9 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $70.70 101 coins | 11.9% | 401 | 391.5 | 1.02× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $65.46 93.51 coins | 27.4% | 974 | 978.8 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $28.72 41.03 coins | 12.0% | 941 | 978.8 | 0.96× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $13.02 18.6 coins | 10.9% | 1,915 | 1957.6 | 0.98× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $11.92 17.03 coins | 17.5% | 3,486 | 3425.8 | 1.02× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $11.88 16.97 coins | 10.0% | 1,951 | 1957.6 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.8% | 88,123 | 88091.1 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 14:16 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 07:49 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 02:45 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 02:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 02:12 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Zozol\<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Zozol%3C3) $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 01:48 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-08 00:08 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-07 23:40 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $2.60 3.72 coins $236 337 coins 90.59x 2026-11-07 19:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dreamland) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Jpoke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jpoke) $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [DriVinity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DriVinity) $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) [DriVinity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DriVinity) $2.63 3.75 coins $13.02 18.6 coins 4.96x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [BARDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BARDA) $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [DriVinity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DriVinity) $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.63 3.75 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $2.63 | 90.85% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $2.62 | 90.85% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $2.59 | 91.01% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.60 | 90.89% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% industrial 0.4% classified 4.0% restricted 5.5% consumer 90.0% best hit $236 (90.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.85 on average: an expected loss of $9.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt