---
title: "Dynamite case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dynamite ($14.23) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 17 items with odds, observed 78.59% over 3,408 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Dynamite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Dynamite

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=all)

Price · $14.23 · 20.33 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $12.94 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.59% · 3,408 openings, odds method

Variance · 37.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73.71% ±60.01 400 openings

7 days · 77.52% ±21.96 2,971 openings

30 days · 78.59% ±20.50 3,408 openings

since tracking started · 78.59% ±20.50 3,408 openings

13.0% 73.8% 134.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=24h) | 400 | 73.71% ±60.0 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=7d) | 2,971 | 77.52% ±22.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite) | 3,408 | 78.59% ±20.5 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dynamite?window=all) | 3,408 | 78.59% ±20.5 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,417 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $6,650 9,500 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $1,091 1,559 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,111 | $396 566 coins | 2.8% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $286 409 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 667 | $265 379 coins | 3.1% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $113 162 coins | 7.0% | 32 | 27.3 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $77.00 110 coins | 9.2% | 43 | 53.0 | 0.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $69.60 99.43 coins | 1.6% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $61.46 87.8 coins | 9.5% | 74 | 68.3 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $36.40 52 coins | 16.9% | 170 | 205.0 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $18.70 26.72 coins | 11.6% | 275 | 273.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Gambit Gaming (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 12 | $12.32 17.6 coins | 8.1% | 313 | 290.4 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $7.62 10.88 coins | 5.2% | 302 | 299.0 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-well-worn) | 14.5% | $4.45 6.36 coins | 5.0% | 499 | 495.5 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) | 14.6% | $4.00 5.72 coins | 4.5% | 510 | 498.5 | 1.02× |
| [M249 \| Impact Drill (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-impact-drill-field-tested) | 10.5% | $1.74 2.49 coins | 1.4% | 351 | 358.8 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 24.2% | $1.18 1.68 coins | 2.2% | 829 | 825.5 | 1.00× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=dynamite)

[UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-well-worn) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $4.45 6.36 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[M249 | Impact Drill (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-impact-drill-field-tested) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $1.74 2.49 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Sticker | Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $14.23 20.33 coins $4.00 5.72 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $61.46 87.8 coins 4.32x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $36.40 52 coins 2.56x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $18.70 26.72 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $7.62 10.88 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-minimal-wear) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $14.23 20.33 coins $18.70 26.72 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Sticker | Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $4.00 5.72 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[M249 | Impact Drill (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-impact-drill-field-tested) Hidden $14.23 20.33 coins $1.74 2.49 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $14.23 | 90.89% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $14.26 | 90.93% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.31 | 90.90% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% classified 24.4% covert 9.1% exotic 8.5% restricted 32.9% Rare 14.6% consumer 10.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt