---
title: "Echo case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Echo ($10.37) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 102.07% over 2,949 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Echo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Echo

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=all)

Price · $10.37 · 14.81 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $9.42 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.07% · 2,949 openings, odds method

Variance · 21.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.50% ±50.16 325 openings

7 days · 97.95% ±18.12 2,584 openings

30 days · 102.07% ±16.99 2,949 openings

since tracking started · 102.07% ±16.99 2,949 openings

40.5% 91.5% 142.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=24h) | 325 | 91.50% ±50.2 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=7d) | 2,584 | 97.95% ±18.1 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo) | 2,949 | 102.07% ±17.0 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/echo?window=all) | 2,949 | 102.07% ±17.0 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,958 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,407 2,010 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,050 1,500 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $673 962 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $493 705 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $473 676 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo/Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil-2) | 1 in 1,111 | $365 522 coins | 3.5% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $355 507 coins | 3.8% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $330 471 coins | 5.2% | 9 | 4.4 | 2.03× |
| [Sticker \| cajunb (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cajunb-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 333 | $242 346 coins | 7.7% | 13 | 8.9 | 1.46× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 204 | $149 213 coins | 7.8% | 15 | 14.5 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $118 169 coins | 3.1% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $51.36 73.37 coins | 7.6% | 43 | 41.4 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $25.77 36.81 coins | 4.1% | 50 | 44.4 | 1.13× |
| [UMP-45 \| Indigo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $13.95 19.93 coins | 7.4% | 143 | 147.9 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 10.5% | $9.09 12.99 coins | 10.1% | 311 | 310.6 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) | 16.0% | $6.57 9.38 coins | 11.1% | 486 | 473.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $5.23 7.47 coins | 11.1% | 569 | 591.6 | 0.96× |
| [Souvenir XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.21 7.44 coins | 0.6% | 37 | 29.6 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 21.0% | $2.38 3.4 coins | 5.3% | 626 | 621.2 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-factory-new) | 22.1% | $0.16 0.23 coins | 0.4% | 638 | 653.7 | 0.98× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $1,407 2,010 coins 135.7x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $673 962 coins 64.96x 2026-11-11 07:42 UTC

[★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) [m0nke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m0nke) $10.12 14.46 coins $507 725 coins 50.14x 2026-11-05 16:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=echo)

[Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-factory-new) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $0.16 0.23 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[MAG-7 | Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $6.57 9.38 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[MAG-7 | Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $6.57 9.38 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[MAG-7 | Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $6.57 9.38 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $5.23 7.47 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[Souvenir Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-anodized-navy-factory-new) [John Pork](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/John%20Pork) $10.37 14.81 coins $9.09 12.99 coins 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $5.23 7.47 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-factory-new) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $0.16 0.23 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $5.23 7.47 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.37 14.81 coins $5.23 7.47 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $10.37 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.37 | 90.89% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.20 | 90.88% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.12 | 90.93% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.8% base 0.1% exotic 0.3% classified 1.7% consumer 22.4% mil spec 30.5% industrial 1.0% restricted 21.0% common 22.1% best hit $1,407 (135.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
