---
title: "Eclipse case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eclipse ($220.13) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 21.29% over 239 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Eclipse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Eclipse

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=all)

Price · $220.13 · 314 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $200.12 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 21.29% · 239 openings, odds method

Variance · 55.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 205 openings · below min

30 days · 239 openings · below min

since tracking started · 239 openings · below min

-0.5% 62.8% 126.0%

**Small sample.** 239 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=7d) | 205 | 23.68% ±101.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse) | 239 | 21.29% ±94.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eclipse?window=all) | 239 | 21.29% ±94.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 400 | $25K 35,730 coins | 31.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $17.6K 25,125 coins | 22.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $10.3K 14,660 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $6,269 8,955 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 80 | $964 1,377 coins | 6.0% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $545 779 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 80 | $285 407 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $239 341 coins | 3.0% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $164 234 coins | 2.0% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $158 226 coins | 1.6% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $97.30 139 coins | 1.0% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| [Sticker \| Watermelon Tentaskull sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-tentaskull) | 17.0% | $2.00 2.86 coins | 0.2% | 33 | 40.6 | 0.81× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $1.26 1.8 coins | 0.1% | 50 | 40.6 | 1.23× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 17.0% | $0.99 1.41 coins | 0.1% | 42 | 40.6 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $0.87 1.24 coins | 0.1% | 46 | 40.6 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 17.0% | $0.41 0.59 coins | 0.0% | 37 | 40.6 | 0.91× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $221 316 coins $1,131 1,616 coins 5.11x 2026-11-08 03:13 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $221 316 coins $964 1,377 coins 4.35x 2026-11-08 11:18 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $221 316 coins $964 1,377 coins 4.35x 2026-11-08 11:16 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $221 316 coins $964 1,377 coins 4.35x 2026-11-07 23:57 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $221 316 coins $964 1,377 coins 4.35x 2026-11-05 18:17 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $221 316 coins $964 1,377 coins 4.35x 2026-11-05 02:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $221 316 coins $545 779 coins 2.46x 2026-11-08 11:16 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $221 316 coins $545 779 coins 2.46x 2026-11-06 11:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=eclipse)

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) Hidden $220 314 coins $0.87 1.24 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:30 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Tentaskull sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-tentaskull) Hidden $220 314 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:30 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) Hidden $220 314 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:30 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $220 314 coins $97.30 139 coins 0.44x 2026-11-10 10:30 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $220 315 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) Hidden $220 315 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) Hidden $220 315 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) Hidden $220 315 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) Hidden $221 316 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 13:09 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) Hidden $221 316 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 13:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $220 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $220 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $220 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $220 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $221 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $221 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $221 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $221 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $221 | 90.91% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed base 0.3% legendary 0.3% remarkable 0.3% extraordinary 1.5% covert 10.3% classified 2.5% high 17.0% restricted 34.0% mil spec 34.0% best hit $1,131 (5.11x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt