---
title: "Eco Round case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eco Round ($54.45) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 93.25% over 333 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Eco Round](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Eco Round

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=all)

Price · $54.45 · 77.79 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $49.50 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.25% · 333 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 93.09% ±17.83 255 openings

30 days · 93.25% ±15.60 333 openings

since tracking started · 93.25% ±15.60 333 openings

-0.5% 93.8% 188.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=24h) | 9 | 91.29% ±96.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=7d) | 255 | 93.09% ±17.8 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round) | 333 | 93.25% ±15.6 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eco-round?window=all) | 333 | 93.25% ±15.6 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 333 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $465 664 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $295 421 coins | 47.6% | 29 | 26.6 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $167 239 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $124 177 coins | 20.0% | 25 | 26.6 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $52.95 75.64 coins | 10.7% | 29 | 33.3 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 15.0% | $29.03 41.47 coins | 8.8% | 57 | 49.9 | 1.14× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $13.04 18.63 coins | 2.1% | 34 | 26.6 | 1.28× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 33.5% | $11.06 15.8 coins | 7.5% | 103 | 111.4 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Shattered (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-well-worn) | 17.0% | $3.26 4.66 coins | 1.1% | 54 | 56.6 | 0.95× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=eco-round)

[Galil AR | Shattered (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-well-worn) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $3.26 4.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $295 421 coins 5.41x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $52.95 75.64 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $29.03 41.47 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $29.03 41.47 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) [Michał](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Micha%C5%82) $54.45 77.79 coins $13.04 18.63 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Galil AR | Shattered (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-well-worn) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $3.26 4.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $11.06 15.8 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $54.45 77.79 coins $11.06 15.8 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Shattered (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-well-worn) Hidden $54.45 77.79 coins $3.26 4.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $54.45 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $54.45 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $54.70 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $53.91 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $53.91 | 90.90% | 9 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $53.92 | 90.90% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 8.1% covert 33.5% mil spec 25.0% classified 33.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
