---
title: "Eggtastic case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eggtastic ($17.70) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 37 items with odds, observed 89.07% over 1,770 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Eggtastic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Eggtastic

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=all)

Price · $17.70 · 25.28 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $16.09 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.07% · 1,770 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.41% ±11.60 298 openings

7 days · 90.56% ±5.35 1,423 openings

30 days · 89.07% ±4.80 1,770 openings

since tracking started · 89.07% ±4.80 1,770 openings

83.0% 95.2% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=24h) | 298 | 95.41% ±11.6 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=7d) | 1,423 | 90.56% ±5.35 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic) | 1,770 | 89.07% ±4.80 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eggtastic?window=all) | 1,770 | 89.07% ±4.80 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,770 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 22,727 | $390 557 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 10,526 | $312 446 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $251 358 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 4,000 | $233 333 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $210 300 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $207 296 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90,909 | $204 292 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 1,695 | $182 260 coins | 0.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.92× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 11,905 | $168 240 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,667 | $153 219 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-factory-new) | 1 in 16,129 | $142 203 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 1,282 | $137 196 coins | 0.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 1,031 | $137 196 coins | 0.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 41,667 | $118 169 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $114 163 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $95.90 137 coins | 1.4% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers) | 1 in 833 | $88.20 126 coins | 0.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $74.20 106 coins | 1.6% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.45× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $69.86 99.8 coins | 2.5% | 12 | 10.3 | 1.17× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $64.32 91.88 coins | 1.8% | 3 | 8.0 | 0.38× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers) | 1 in 116 | $62.44 89.2 coins | 3.3% | 13 | 15.2 | 0.85× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $52.74 75.34 coins | 2.4% | 17 | 13.1 | 1.30× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $51.29 73.27 coins | 3.2% | 10 | 17.7 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $44.32 63.32 coins | 4.1% | 22 | 26.6 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| Sprout Esports (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sprout-esports-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 102 | $43.74 62.48 coins | 2.7% | 14 | 17.3 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $36.93 52.75 coins | 10.3% | 92 | 79.6 | 1.16× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $31.18 44.55 coins | 10.3% | 66 | 93.8 | 0.70× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $23.55 33.65 coins | 5.1% | 70 | 62.0 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| Liquid Fire (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire-holo) | 1 in 15 | $17.67 25.25 coins | 7.3% | 131 | 117.9 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $16.13 23.04 coins | 7.5% | 154 | 133.3 | 1.16× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $14.83 21.18 coins | 6.4% | 131 | 123.9 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| FURIA (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-holo-katowice-2019) | 1 in 11 | $12.40 17.72 coins | 6.8% | 179 | 155.8 | 1.15× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $7.43 10.62 coins | 3.3% | 121 | 126.4 | 0.96× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $6.34 9.05 coins | 2.9% | 118 | 129.0 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 12.0% | $5.56 7.95 coins | 4.2% | 207 | 212.4 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Watermelon Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-strafe-holo) | 10.0% | $5.55 7.93 coins | 3.4% | 155 | 177.0 | 0.88× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 13.0% | $4.76 6.8 coins | 3.8% | 233 | 230.1 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=eggtastic)

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) [Rusty Cake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Rusty%20Cake) $17.70 25.28 coins $4.76 6.8 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) Hidden $17.70 25.28 coins $36.93 52.75 coins 2.09x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $17.70 25.28 coins $16.13 23.04 coins 0.91x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire-holo) [BRÄTT \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BR%C3%84TT%20%3C3) $17.70 25.28 coins $17.67 25.25 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-factory-new) [Rusty Cake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Rusty%20Cake) $17.70 25.28 coins $6.34 9.05 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-strafe-holo) Hidden $17.70 25.28 coins $5.55 7.93 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-strafe-holo) Hidden $17.70 25.28 coins $5.55 7.93 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-strafe-holo) Hidden $17.70 25.28 coins $5.55 7.93 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.70 25.28 coins $4.76 6.8 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-factory-new) [᠌ ᠌Liwon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E1%A0%8C%20%E1%A0%8CLiwon) $17.70 25.28 coins $6.34 9.05 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $17.70 | 90.92% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $17.40 | 90.89% | 37 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.42 | 90.91% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.8% red 0.0% epic 0.0% classified 32.0% uncommon 27.9% exotic 1.0% Ancient 5.3% rare 3.5% remarkable 25.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt