---
title: "Energy case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Energy ($37.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 93.41% over 1,448 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Energy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Energy

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=all)

Price · $37.00 · 52.85 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $33.63 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.41% · 1,448 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.65% ±24.89 164 openings

7 days · 92.99% ±8.90 1,160 openings

30 days · 93.41% ±7.93 1,448 openings

since tracking started · 93.41% ±7.93 1,448 openings

65.0% 90.5% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=24h) | 164 | 90.65% ±24.9 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=7d) | 1,160 | 92.99% ±8.90 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy) | 1,448 | 93.41% ±7.93 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/energy?window=all) | 1,448 | 93.41% ±7.93 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,452 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,583 2,262 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $957 1,367 coins | 1.4% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $751 1,073 coins | 2.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.38× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $493 704 coins | 7.3% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.69× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 400 | $403 575 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $292 417 coins | 2.6% | 8 | 4.4 | 1.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $176 252 coins | 9.2% | 25 | 25.4 | 0.98× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $116 166 coins | 2.4% | 8 | 10.2 | 0.79× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $114 163 coins | 4.4% | 18 | 18.9 | 0.95× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $90.30 129 coins | 2.7% | 22 | 14.5 | 1.52× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $63.74 91.06 coins | 3.8% | 36 | 29.0 | 1.24× |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 12.0% | $42.60 60.85 coins | 15.2% | 189 | 174.2 | 1.08× |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $42.34 60.48 coins | 4.8% | 56 | 55.2 | 1.01× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $42.19 60.27 coins | 2.9% | 27 | 33.4 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 5.5% | 70 | 65.3 | 1.07× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $33.42 47.74 coins | 2.7% | 37 | 39.2 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $32.80 46.86 coins | 4.9% | 70 | 72.6 | 0.96× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Emerald) gloves · extraordinary · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-gamma-doppler-well-worn-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $30.87 44.1 coins | 2.8% | 50 | 43.6 | 1.15× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $19.94 28.48 coins | 2.4% | 59 | 58.1 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) | 15.0% | $19.62 28.03 coins | 8.8% | 200 | 217.8 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $16.41 23.44 coins | 4.4% | 123 | 130.7 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $13.61 19.45 coins | 2.8% | 108 | 101.6 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 23.7% | $4.89 6.98 coins | 3.4% | 336 | 344.7 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Necro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Necro) $37.00 52.85 coins $957 1,367 coins 25.87x 2026-11-09 00:33 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $37.76 53.94 coins $948 1,354 coins 25.10x 2026-11-05 10:41 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $751 1,073 coins 20.30x 2026-11-10 15:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $751 1,073 coins 20.30x 2026-11-09 19:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=energy)

[Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) [Heffa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Heffa) $37.00 52.85 coins $42.60 60.85 coins 1.15x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $4.89 6.98 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Galil AR | CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $42.34 60.48 coins 1.14x 2026-11-11 12:01 UTC

[P2000 | Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $19.62 28.03 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) [★ UnToUcHaBlE ™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%98%85%20UnToUcHaBlE%20%E2%84%A2) $37.00 52.85 coins $33.42 47.74 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Emerald) gloves · extraordinary · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-gamma-doppler-well-worn-emerald) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $30.87 44.1 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 10:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $4.89 6.98 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 09:13 UTC

[P2000 | Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) [BigSturg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BigSturg) $37.00 52.85 coins $19.62 28.03 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $37.00 52.85 coins $4.89 6.98 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) [✟Lav](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%9FLav) $37.00 52.85 coins $4.89 6.98 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $37.00 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $38.33 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.76 | 90.91% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 9.1% classified 28.7% extraordinary 6.4% restricted 39.8% mil spec 5.0% industrial 11.0% best hit $957 (25.87x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt