--- title: "Euphoria case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Euphoria ($1.85) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.86% from 16 items with odds, observed 90.54% over 28.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria rendered: 2026-11-11T18:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Euphoria](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Euphoria A case on CSGORoll (15%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=all) Price · $1.85 · 2.65 coins Advertised RTP · 90.86% · EV $1.69 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.54% · 28.3K openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.56% ±8.30 3,460 openings 7 days · 90.52% ±3.17 23.1K openings 30 days · 90.54% ±2.86 28.3K openings since tracking started · 90.54% ±2.86 28.3K openings 79.5% 88.5% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=24h) | 3,460 | 88.56% ±8.30 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=7d) | 23.1K | 90.52% ±3.17 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria) | 28.3K | 90.54% ±2.86 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/euphoria?window=all) | 28.3K | 90.54% ±2.86 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $89.60 128 coins | 3.2% | 16 | 17.0 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $79.10 113 coins | 3.8% | 18 | 22.6 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $75.60 108 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 1,000 | $32.58 46.55 coins | 1.9% | 21 | 28.3 | 0.74× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $26.89 38.42 coins | 16.0% | 315 | 282.7 | 1.11× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $22.81 32.59 coins | 2.0% | 34 | 42.4 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $21.83 31.19 coins | 3.2% | 76 | 70.7 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| n0rb3r7 (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-n0rb3r7-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 80 | $6.39 9.13 coins | 4.7% | 338 | 353.3 | 0.96× | | [G3SG1 \| Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $6.13 8.75 coins | 8.7% | 682 | 678.4 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Outsiders (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-outsiders-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 200 | $5.09 7.27 coins | 1.5% | 125 | 141.3 | 0.88× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $4.31 6.15 coins | 10.7% | 1,207 | 1187.1 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.13 5.9 coins | 12.3% | 1,455 | 1413.3 | 1.03× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.13 1.62 coins | 6.7% | 2,795 | 2826.5 | 0.99× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.63 0.9 coins | 7.5% | 5,641 | 5653.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.55 0.79 coins | 8.2% | 7,102 | 7066.3 | 1.01× | | [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.51 0.73 coins | 9.1% | 8,440 | 8479.5 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-07 12:07 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-06 18:56 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) [sushi🍣🦖](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sushi%F0%9F%8D%A3%F0%9F%A6%96) $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-06 01:21 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-06 00:04 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-05 16:29 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-05 02:50 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-04 03:00 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-03 23:44 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) [✪✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%E2%9C%AA) $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-03 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.62 coins $91.70 131 coins 50.00x 2026-11-03 11:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=euphoria) [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.51 0.73 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.51 0.73 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [Pedro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pedro) $1.85 2.65 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.55 0.79 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $1.13 1.62 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.55 0.79 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [Fiiskjeavel!](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fiiskjeavel!) $1.85 2.65 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.85 2.65 coins $0.51 0.73 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $1.85 | 90.86% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $1.85 | 90.83% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1.88 | 90.87% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1.83 | 91.08% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $1.84 | 90.80% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $1.83 | 91.07% | 16 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $1.83 | 90.99% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.84 | 90.80% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% classified 2.6% exotic 0.6% restricted 60.2% remarkable 1.3% uncommon 5.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit $91.70 (50.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.86 on average: an expected loss of $9.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt