--- title: "Fifty-Fifty case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fifty-Fifty ($1.96) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 6 items with odds, observed 90.73% over 28.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty rendered: 2026-11-11T19:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Fifty-Fifty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Fifty-Fifty A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=all) Price · $1.96 · 2.8 coins Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $1.78 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.73% · 28.1K openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.96% ±2.39 4,321 openings 7 days · 90.87% ±1.03 23.3K openings 30 days · 90.73% ±0.94 28.1K openings since tracking started · 90.73% ±0.94 28.1K openings 87.0% 90.0% 93.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=24h) | 4,321 | 89.96% ±2.39 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=7d) | 23.3K | 90.87% ±1.03 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty) | 28.1K | 90.73% ±0.94 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fifty-fifty?window=all) | 28.1K | 90.73% ±0.94 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 20.0% | $3.98 5.68 coins | 44.6% | 5,538 | 5629.0 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.72 5.31 coins | 20.9% | 2,878 | 2814.5 | 1.02× | | [PP-Bizon \| Seabird (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-seabird-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.06 2.94 coins | 11.6% | 2,725 | 2814.5 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.83 2.62 coins | 20.6% | 5,755 | 5629.0 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.21 0.3 coins | 1.2% | 2,813 | 2814.5 | 1.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.07 0.1 coins | 1.2% | 8,436 | 8443.5 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=fifty-fifty) [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [USP-S | Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) [FIlle](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FIlle) $1.96 2.8 coins $3.72 5.31 coins 1.90x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [Gybben9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gybben9) $1.96 2.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [USP-S | Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $3.72 5.31 coins 1.90x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [FIlle](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FIlle) $1.96 2.8 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 2.03x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $1.96 2.8 coins $1.83 2.62 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [Gybben9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gybben9) $1.96 2.8 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 2.03x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 08:16 UTC | $1.96 | 90.89% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.96 | 90.96% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $1.97 | 91.00% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1.97 | 91.03% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.99 | 90.95% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $2.00 | 90.84% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $2.00 | 90.94% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $2.02 | 90.80% | 6 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.02 | 90.87% | 6 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.04 | 90.82% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 40.0% industrial 40.0% consumer 10.0% mil spec 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt