--- title: "Finish line case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Finish line ($4.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 17 items with odds, observed 96.76% over 14.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line rendered: 2026-11-11T13:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Finish line](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Finish line A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=all) Price · $4.87 · 6.96 coins Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $4.43 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.76% · 14.2K openings, odds method Variance · 11.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.37% ±15.56 1,739 openings 7 days · 98.68% ±5.82 12.3K openings 30 days · 96.76% ±5.42 14.2K openings since tracking started · 96.76% ±5.42 14.2K openings 65.0% 85.0% 105.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.96% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.33% – 102.18%, 14,188 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=24h) | 1,739 | 81.37% ±15.6 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=7d) | 12.3K | 98.68% ±5.82 | +2.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line) | 14.2K | 96.76% ±5.42 | +2.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/finish-line?window=all) | 14.2K | 96.76% ±5.42 | +2.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) | 1 in 15,385 | $783 1,119 coins | 1.2% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 13,333 | $627 896 coins | 1.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.88× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $377 539 coins | 1.3% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.88× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,961 | $277 395 coins | 3.2% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $137 196 coins | 2.2% | 8 | 9.9 | 0.81× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $113 162 coins | 6.4% | 39 | 35.5 | 1.10× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $62.86 89.8 coins | 9.9% | 114 | 99.4 | 1.15× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $56.55 80.78 coins | 12.8% | 133 | 142.0 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 83 | $32.56 46.52 coins | 8.8% | 175 | 170.4 | 1.03× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $27.05 38.65 coins | 7.9% | 193 | 184.5 | 1.05× | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $19.36 27.66 coins | 6.6% | 210 | 212.9 | 0.99× | | [Krakow 2017 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 67 | $18.73 26.76 coins | 6.3% | 228 | 212.9 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| Gambit Esports (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-esports-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 59 | $17.76 25.37 coins | 6.8% | 245 | 241.3 | 1.02× | | [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $9.32 13.31 coins | 15.2% | 993 | 1022.1 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 27.0% | $0.64 0.91 coins | 3.9% | 3,903 | 3832.9 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-vent-rush-field-tested) | 27.5% | $0.55 0.79 coins | 3.4% | 3,858 | 3903.9 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| fame (Glitter) \| Rio 2022 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-glitter-rio-2022) | 29.0% | $0.47 0.67 coins | 3.1% | 4,080 | 4116.8 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $783 1,119 coins 160.8x 2026-11-10 10:38 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) Hidden $4.96 7.09 coins $783 1,119 coins 157.8x 2026-11-08 14:18 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) Hidden $4.96 7.09 coins $783 1,119 coins 157.8x 2026-11-06 23:36 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $4.97 7.1 coins $627 896 coins 126.2x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $4.96 7.09 coins $611 873 coins 123.1x 2026-11-05 18:55 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $377 539 coins 77.44x 2026-11-10 11:06 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [CassE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/CassE) $4.96 7.09 coins $362 517 coins 72.92x 2026-11-07 17:38 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $4.96 7.09 coins $362 517 coins 72.92x 2026-11-07 15:28 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $4.96 7.09 coins $362 517 coins 72.92x 2026-11-05 00:17 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $277 395 coins 56.75x 2026-11-09 09:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=finish-line) [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [Sticker | fame (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-glitter-rio-2022) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $4.87 6.96 coins $0.47 0.67 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $9.32 13.31 coins 1.91x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [Krakow 2017 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-challengers-holo-foil) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $18.73 26.76 coins 3.84x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-vent-rush-field-tested) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.55 0.79 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [Sticker | fame (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.47 0.67 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.87 6.96 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $4.87 | 90.87% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $4.87 | 90.88% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $4.94 | 90.90% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.96 | 90.95% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed high 0.0% legendary 0.0% rare 0.0% covert 0.3% classified 2.9% extraordinary 0.7% restricted 35.7% exotic 2.9% base 1.5% mil spec 27.0% remarkable 29.0% best hit $783 (160.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt