---
title: "Flamingo case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Flamingo ($5.85) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 20 items with odds, observed 86.18% over 22.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Flamingo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Flamingo

A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=all)

Price · $5.85 · 8.36 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $5.32 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.18% · 22.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 15.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81.63% ±15.04 2,553 openings

7 days · 85.09% ±5.42 19K openings

30 days · 86.18% ±4.97 22.5K openings

since tracking started · 86.18% ±4.97 22.5K openings

66.0% 81.8% 97.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=24h) | 2,553 | 81.63% ±15.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=7d) | 19K | 85.09% ±5.42 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo) | 22.5K | 86.18% ±4.97 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/flamingo?window=all) | 22.5K | 86.18% ±4.97 | −1.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $410 586 coins | 7.7% | 16 | 22.5 | 0.71× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $209 298 coins | 7.8% | 39 | 45.1 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $206 294 coins | 7.7% | 41 | 45.1 | 0.91× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $95.20 136 coins | 5.4% | 52 | 67.6 | 0.77× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $91.00 130 coins | 5.1% | 65 | 67.6 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $75.60 108 coins | 5.7% | 71 | 90.2 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $74.20 106 coins | 5.6% | 89 | 90.2 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $70.13 100 coins | 7.9% | 155 | 135.3 | 1.15× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $62.86 89.8 coins | 5.9% | 118 | 112.7 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $58.30 83.28 coins | 5.5% | 125 | 112.7 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $47.31 67.59 coins | 5.3% | 141 | 135.3 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $34.31 49.01 coins | 6.5% | 217 | 225.4 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $27.54 39.34 coins | 4.1% | 177 | 180.3 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $19.42 27.74 coins | 2.9% | 169 | 180.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $15.03 21.47 coins | 3.1% | 234 | 248.0 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $12.89 18.41 coins | 2.7% | 253 | 248.0 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $10.94 15.63 coins | 2.3% | 230 | 248.0 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) | 30.0% | $0.64 0.91 coins | 3.6% | 6,726 | 6762.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Get Smoked (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-smoked-holo) | 30.0% | $0.55 0.78 coins | 3.1% | 6,866 | 6762.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) | 30.0% | $0.36 0.52 coins | 2.1% | 6,759 | 6762.9 | 1.00× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Dark Zuckerberg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dark%20Zuckerberg) $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-09 18:26 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [User#998](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23998) $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-09 08:31 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [User#998](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23998) $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-09 04:23 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $410 586 coins 70.10x 2026-11-09 03:46 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.85 8.35 coins $410 586 coins 70.18x 2026-11-09 00:46 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.87 8.39 coins $395 564 coins 67.22x 2026-11-08 10:22 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Nisse-Holt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Nisse-Holt) $5.87 8.39 coins $395 564 coins 67.22x 2026-11-07 20:45 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $5.89 8.41 coins $395 564 coins 67.06x 2026-11-05 17:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=flamingo)

[Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.36 0.52 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Get Smoked (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-smoked-holo) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.55 0.78 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Get Smoked (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-smoked-holo) [玩我箱子&CODE :KK1Y1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E7%8E%A9%E6%88%91%E7%AE%B1%E5%AD%90%26CODE%20%3AKK1Y1) $5.85 8.36 coins $0.55 0.78 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.36 0.52 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.36 0.52 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[Sticker | Get Smoked (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-smoked-holo) [Fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fred) $5.85 8.36 coins $0.55 0.78 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $5.85 8.36 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $5.85 | 90.87% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.85 | 90.94% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.93 | 90.96% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $5.87 | 90.88% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.89 | 90.88% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.1% classified 4.4% rare 0.8% restricted 1.9% pink 0.8% high 30.0% remarkable 60.0% best hit $410 (70.10x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt