--- title: "Forcefield case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Forcefield ($10.58) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 9 items with odds, observed 92.08% over 8,264 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Forcefield](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Forcefield A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=all) Price · $10.58 · 15.12 coins Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $9.62 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.08% · 8,264 openings, odds method Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.70% ±12.72 937 openings 7 days · 92.67% ±4.63 7,148 openings 30 days · 92.08% ±4.31 8,264 openings since tracking started · 92.08% ±4.31 8,264 openings 73.5% 86.8% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=24h) | 937 | 86.70% ±12.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=7d) | 7,148 | 92.67% ±4.63 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield) | 8,264 | 92.08% ±4.31 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forcefield?window=all) | 8,264 | 92.08% ±4.31 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,270 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $963 1,376 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $197 281 coins | 5.1% | 22 | 20.7 | 1.06× | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $77.00 110 coins | 10.0% | 107 | 103.4 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $43.88 62.69 coins | 41.1% | 769 | 744.3 | 1.03× | | [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $29.15 41.65 coins | 27.3% | 731 | 744.3 | 0.98× | | [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 10.5% | $14.16 20.23 coins | 15.4% | 838 | 867.5 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 2,511 | 2481.0 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 1,582 | 1654.0 | 0.96× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,709 | 1654.0 | 1.03× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $10.60 15.14 coins $985 1,407 coins 92.93x 2026-11-07 12:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=forcefield) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [John Pork](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/John%20Pork) $10.58 15.12 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.58 15.12 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $10.58 15.12 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $10.58 | 90.89% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.58 | 90.93% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.59 | 90.92% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.60 | 90.90% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.3% classified 19.7% mil spec 9.0% consumer 70.0% best hit $985 (92.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt