--- title: "Forever Alone case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Forever Alone ($64.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 89.02% over 3,552 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Forever Alone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Forever Alone A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=all) Price · $64.00 · 91.43 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $58.18 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.02% · 3,552 openings, odds method Variance · 15.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 43 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.02% ±49.10 244 openings 7 days · 90.78% ±13.27 3,346 openings 30 days · 89.02% ±12.88 3,552 openings since tracking started · 89.02% ±12.88 3,552 openings 34.5% 84.3% 134.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=24h) | 244 | 84.02% ±49.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=7d) | 3,346 | 90.78% ±13.3 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone) | 3,552 | 89.02% ±12.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/forever-alone?window=all) | 3,552 | 89.02% ±12.9 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,552 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,578 6,540 coins | 7.9% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 500 | $2,737 3,910 coins | 9.4% | 3 | 7.1 | 0.42× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 333 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 5.7% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 7.1% | 11 | 14.2 | 0.77× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 167 | $937 1,339 coins | 9.7% | 32 | 21.3 | 1.50× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 143 | $918 1,311 coins | 11.0% | 29 | 24.9 | 1.17× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 125 | $723 1,033 coins | 9.9% | 33 | 28.4 | 1.16× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $493 705 coins | 7.6% | 28 | 32.0 | 0.88× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $407 582 coins | 7.0% | 42 | 35.5 | 1.18× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 50 | $274 392 coins | 9.4% | 54 | 71.0 | 0.76× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 33 | $228 326 coins | 11.8% | 111 | 106.6 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Sherry(Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo-2) | 22.5% | $2.34 3.35 coins | 0.9% | 798 | 799.2 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Tamara (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara-holo-2) | 22.5% | $2.32 3.31 coins | 0.9% | 832 | 799.2 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) | 22.5% | $2.19 3.13 coins | 0.8% | 774 | 799.2 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) | 22.5% | $2.12 3.03 coins | 0.8% | 789 | 799.2 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $64.04 91.48 coins $4,578 6,540 coins 71.49x 2026-11-08 22:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $64.04 91.48 coins $4,578 6,540 coins 71.49x 2026-11-08 17:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $64.00 91.43 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 42.76x 2026-11-09 00:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $65.08 92.97 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 42.06x 2026-11-05 20:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $65.08 92.97 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 42.06x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [gaxon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/gaxon) $65.08 92.97 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 42.06x 2026-11-04 14:17 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.08 92.97 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 17.58x 2026-11-08 12:59 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.08 92.97 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 17.58x 2026-11-08 11:58 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.08 92.97 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 17.58x 2026-11-07 23:03 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.08 92.97 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 17.58x 2026-11-06 21:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=forever-alone) [Sticker | Tamara (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara-holo-2) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.32 3.31 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Tamara (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara-holo-2) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.32 3.31 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.12 3.03 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.12 3.03 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.19 3.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Sherry(Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo-2) [AWP GOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/AWP%20GOD) $64.00 91.43 coins $2.34 3.35 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.19 3.13 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.12 3.03 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.12 3.03 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Ivette (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ivette-holo) Hidden $64.00 91.43 coins $2.12 3.03 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $64.00 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $64.04 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $65.08 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.3% legendary 0.7% remarkable 67.5% Mythical 22.5% best hit $4,578 (71.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt