--- title: "Four Seasons case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Four Seasons ($20.69) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 20 items with odds, observed 86.52% over 1,068 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Four Seasons](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Four Seasons A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=all) Price · $20.69 · 29.55 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $18.80 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.52% · 1,068 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.33% ±22.28 142 openings 7 days · 88.28% ±9.33 796 openings 30 days · 86.52% ±8.05 1,068 openings since tracking started · 86.52% ±8.05 1,068 openings 62.5% 85.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=24h) | 142 | 85.33% ±22.3 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=7d) | 796 | 88.28% ±9.33 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons) | 1,068 | 86.52% ±8.05 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/four-seasons?window=all) | 1,068 | 86.52% ±8.05 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,068 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 13,333 | $984 1,406 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 13,333 | $497 710 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $465 664 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $293 418 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $184 263 coins | 0.8% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $159 227 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $144 206 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $95.90 137 coins | 4.3% | 9 | 9.1 | 0.99× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $91.70 131 coins | 7.8% | 16 | 17.1 | 0.94× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $87.50 125 coins | 8.4% | 18 | 19.2 | 0.94× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $69.68 99.54 coins | 8.2% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $68.43 97.76 coins | 8.9% | 21 | 26.2 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $57.36 81.95 coins | 8.4% | 31 | 29.5 | 1.05× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $37.25 53.22 coins | 5.7% | 38 | 30.9 | 1.23× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $27.05 38.65 coins | 7.9% | 56 | 58.7 | 0.95× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $16.46 23.51 coins | 4.8% | 60 | 58.7 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $12.29 17.56 coins | 5.8% | 81 | 95.1 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Electrum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $7.44 10.63 coins | 6.6% | 247 | 177.3 | 1.39× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 22.5% | $6.24 8.91 coins | 7.5% | 189 | 240.3 | 0.79× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 25.6% | $5.94 8.49 coins | 8.1% | 277 | 273.8 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=four-seasons) [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $5.94 8.49 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $5.94 8.49 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-factory-new) [Lajjan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lajjan) $20.69 29.55 coins $5.94 8.49 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $69.68 99.54 coins 3.37x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) [DankChocolates](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DankChocolates) $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) Hidden $20.69 29.55 coins $6.24 8.91 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $20.69 | 90.90% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.69 | 90.92% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.06 | 90.90% | 20 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $21.02 | 90.90% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $20.95 | 90.91% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.97 | 90.90% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.7% restricted 48.2% rare 4.4% mil spec 7.1% classified 11.1% Legendary 8.9% uncommon 16.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt