--- title: "Frankenstein case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Frankenstein ($35.97) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.93% over 4,576 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Frankenstein](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Frankenstein A case on CSGORoll (new), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=all) Price · $35.97 · 51.39 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $32.70 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.93% · 4,576 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 75.67% ±38.28 179 openings 7 days · 86.78% ±8.67 3,442 openings 30 days · 86.93% ±7.51 4,576 openings since tracking started · 86.93% ±7.51 4,576 openings 36.5% 75.5% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=24h) | 179 | 75.67% ±38.3 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=7d) | 3,442 | 86.78% ±8.67 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein) | 4,576 | 86.93% ±7.51 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/frankenstein?window=all) | 4,576 | 86.93% ±7.51 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,584 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,888 4,125 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,069 2,955 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,567 2,239 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $1,194 1,706 coins | 7.3% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $692 989 coins | 10.6% | 20 | 22.9 | 0.87× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $477 682 coins | 7.3% | 22 | 22.9 | 0.96× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 135 | $342 488 coins | 7.7% | 31 | 33.9 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $185 264 coins | 5.7% | 44 | 45.8 | 0.96× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $68.87 98.39 coins | 4.9% | 96 | 107.7 | 0.89× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 7.7% | 201 | 220.0 | 0.91× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $38.51 55.01 coins | 8.7% | 380 | 336.9 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $27.32 39.03 coins | 7.4% | 411 | 403.4 | 1.02× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $26.67 38.1 coins | 7.3% | 403 | 412.6 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $19.15 27.35 coins | 5.3% | 420 | 412.6 | 1.02× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 10.0% | $16.93 24.18 coins | 5.2% | 435 | 458.4 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 11.5% | $8.81 12.58 coins | 3.1% | 525 | 527.2 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 14.5% | $8.75 12.5 coins | 3.9% | 677 | 667.0 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 19.7% | $8.20 11.72 coins | 4.9% | 909 | 900.8 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [MilkTea](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MilkTea) $37.11 53.02 coins $2,076 2,965 coins 55.92x 2026-11-07 21:56 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-08 02:46 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-08 02:46 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-06 13:40 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Lubetube](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lubetube) $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-05 10:47 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-04 14:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-03 17:08 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Jägermeistercsgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/J%C3%A4germeistercsgoroll.com) $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-03 17:05 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $37.11 53.02 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 33.63x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=frankenstein) [StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) Hidden $35.97 51.39 coins $27.32 39.03 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $35.97 51.39 coins $8.81 12.58 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) [Twilight](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Twilight) $35.97 51.39 coins $19.15 27.35 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) [Black Jesus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Black%20Jesus) $35.97 51.39 coins $52.24 74.63 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [Queen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Queen) $35.97 51.39 coins $27.32 39.03 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) [BLVCK CRY$TAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BLVCK%20CRY%24TAL) $35.97 51.39 coins $8.20 11.72 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-well-worn) [MisterCheat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MisterCheat) $35.97 51.39 coins $38.51 55.01 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-factory-new) [BLVCK CRY$TAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BLVCK%20CRY%24TAL) $35.97 51.39 coins $8.75 12.5 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-factory-new) [maxos135](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/maxos135) $35.97 51.39 coins $8.75 12.5 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-well-worn) [BLVCK CRY$TAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BLVCK%20CRY%24TAL) $35.97 51.39 coins $26.67 38.1 coins 0.74x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $35.97 | 90.91% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $36.90 | 90.92% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.11 | 90.91% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 14.3% covert 3.3% legendary 0.5% classified 9.8% rare 7.3% restricted 64.7% best hit $2,076 (55.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt