--- title: "Fruity case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fruity ($200.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 70.98% over 49 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Fruity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Fruity A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=all) Price · $200.87 · 287 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $182.61 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.98% · 49 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 49 openings · below min 30 days · 49 openings · below min since tracking started · 49 openings · below min 4.5% 86.3% 168.0% **Small sample.** 49 openings and 8.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=24h) | 12 | 86.43% ±81.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=7d) | 49 | 70.98% ±40.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity) | 49 | 70.98% ±40.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fruity?window=all) | 49 | 70.98% ±40.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 49 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,269 8,955 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,023 7,175 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 156 | $2,212 3,160 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $1,170 1,672 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $811 1,159 coins | 9.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 67 | $760 1,086 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 56 | $617 882 coins | 6.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 33 | $443 633 coins | 7.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $346 494 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $263 376 coins | 9.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 20 | $260 372 coins | 7.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 11.0% | $142 203 coins | 8.6% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $126 180 coins | 6.6% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.50× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 25.0% | $91.70 131 coins | 12.6% | 9 | 12.3 | 0.73× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $85.40 122 coins | 3.7% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 24.5% | $62.36 89.09 coins | 8.4% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $208 297 coins $846 1,208 coins 4.07x 2026-11-05 00:36 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $208 297 coins $846 1,208 coins 4.07x 2026-11-04 19:58 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $201 287 coins $617 882 coins 3.07x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=fruity) [★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $201 287 coins $263 376 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $201 287 coins $85.40 122 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $201 287 coins $142 203 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $201 287 coins $91.70 131 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $201 287 coins $142 203 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [FaLLouT'z](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FaLLouT'z) $201 287 coins $62.36 89.09 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $201 287 coins $142 203 coins 0.71x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $201 287 coins $263 376 coins 1.31x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $201 287 coins $617 882 coins 3.07x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $201 287 coins $85.40 122 coins 0.43x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $201 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $201 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $208 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% covert 99.0% best hit $846 (4.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt