--- title: "Fuel Tank case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fuel Tank ($44.54) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 87.82% over 1,397 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank rendered: 2026-11-11T18:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Fuel Tank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Fuel Tank A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=all) Price · $44.54 · 63.63 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $40.49 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.82% · 1,397 openings, odds method Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 86.06% ±16.32 1,237 openings 30 days · 87.82% ±15.37 1,397 openings since tracking started · 87.82% ±15.37 1,397 openings -0.5% 69.8% 140.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=24h) | 56 | 63.61% ±75.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=7d) | 1,237 | 86.06% ±16.3 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank) | 1,397 | 87.82% ±15.4 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fuel-tank?window=all) | 1,397 | 87.82% ±15.4 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,397 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,230 3,185 coins | 5.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 333 | $1,299 1,855 coins | 9.6% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.72× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 167 | $630 900 coins | 9.3% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.55× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $587 838 coins | 14.5% | 10 | 14.0 | 0.72× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $223 318 coins | 8.2% | 23 | 21.0 | 1.10× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $168 240 coins | 8.3% | 27 | 27.9 | 0.97× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $137 195 coins | 15.2% | 64 | 62.9 | 1.02× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 30.0% | $29.41 42.02 coins | 21.8% | 398 | 419.1 | 0.95× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 30.0% | $6.07 8.67 coins | 4.5% | 436 | 419.1 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 30.0% | $4.12 5.89 coins | 3.1% | 422 | 419.1 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $2,384 3,405 coins 52.51x 2026-11-06 05:11 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $45.39 64.84 coins $1,341 1,915 coins 29.53x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $1,341 1,915 coins 29.53x 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $1,341 1,915 coins 29.53x 2026-11-02 22:47 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $630 900 coins 14.14x 2026-11-09 13:05 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $630 900 coins 14.14x 2026-11-09 12:15 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $630 900 coins 14.14x 2026-11-09 09:12 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $622 889 coins 13.71x 2026-11-08 03:33 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $622 889 coins 13.71x 2026-11-08 03:26 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $45.39 64.84 coins $622 889 coins 13.71x 2026-11-07 23:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=fuel-tank) [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) [bcx91 - 15k LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bcx91%20-%2015k%20LB) $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $168 240 coins 3.77x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $4.12 5.89 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $29.41 42.02 coins 0.66x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $44.54 63.63 coins $29.41 42.02 coins 0.66x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $44.54 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $44.47 | 90.92% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.39 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 39.9% industrial 30.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $2,384 (52.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt