--- title: "Full Clip case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Full Clip ($122.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.36% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip rendered: 2026-11-11T15:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Full Clip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Full Clip A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=all) Price · $122.87 · 176 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $111.70 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.36% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 73.5% 147.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=7d) | 2 | 59.18% ±87.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip) | 6 | 86.36% ±50.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-clip?window=all) | 6 | 86.36% ±50.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $952 1,360 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $474 677 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $429 613 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $361 516 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $342 488 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $283 404 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $269 384 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $251 359 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $189 270 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $176 251 coins | 28.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $159 227 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $158 225 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $141 202 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $118 169 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 23.1% | $91.00 130 coins | 18.8% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $56.55 80.78 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $55.94 79.92 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 15.0% | $30.86 44.08 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=full-clip) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 171 coins $56.20 80.28 coins 0.47x 2026-11-07 16:13 UTC [Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) [sar haozar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sar%20haozar) $120 171 coins $85.40 122 coins 0.71x 2026-11-07 16:13 UTC [Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) Hidden $120 171 coins $85.40 122 coins 0.71x 2026-11-04 19:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [tjablaaa:)# osas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tjablaaa%3A%29%23%20osas) $120 171 coins $57.11 81.59 coins 0.48x 2026-11-04 19:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $123 | 90.91% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $123 | 90.91% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $120 | 90.91% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 37.4% classified 34.3% restricted 27.5% mil spec 0.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt