---
title: "Full Force case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Full Force ($18.93) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 14 items with odds, observed 88.87% over 1,456 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Full Force](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Full Force

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=all)

Price · $18.93 · 27.04 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $17.20 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.87% · 1,456 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88 openings · below min

7 days · 89.64% ±6.69 1,025 openings

30 days · 88.87% ±5.64 1,456 openings

since tracking started · 88.87% ±5.64 1,456 openings

53.5% 76.5% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=24h) | 88 | 76.63% ±22.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=7d) | 1,025 | 89.64% ±6.69 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force) | 1,456 | 88.87% ±5.64 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/full-force?window=all) | 1,456 | 88.87% ±5.64 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,460 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20,000 | $957 1,367 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 20,000 | $451 644 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $274 392 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $97.30 139 coins | 17.0% | 40 | 43.8 | 0.91× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $95.90 137 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $33.52 47.88 coins | 21.1% | 161 | 158.3 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 10.0% | $28.64 40.91 coins | 16.6% | 145 | 146.0 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $24.22 34.6 coins | 4.2% | 39 | 43.8 | 0.89× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $19.72 28.17 coins | 5.7% | 80 | 73.0 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $16.41 23.44 coins | 9.5% | 148 | 146.0 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $15.62 22.31 coins | 9.1% | 135 | 146.0 | 0.92× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $13.21 18.87 coins | 11.5% | 213 | 219.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1.83 2.61 coins | 1.6% | 226 | 219.0 | 1.03× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-irradiated-alert-field-tested) | 18.0% | $1.75 2.5 coins | 1.8% | 271 | 262.8 | 1.03× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=full-force)

[Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-irradiated-alert-field-tested) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-irradiated-alert-field-tested) [᠌ ᠌Liwon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E1%A0%8C%20%E1%A0%8CLiwon) $18.93 27.04 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $33.52 47.88 coins 1.77x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $28.64 40.91 coins 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $16.41 23.44 coins 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $13.21 18.87 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $1.83 2.61 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $1.83 2.61 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-well-worn) [User#89](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%2389) $18.93 27.04 coins $19.72 28.17 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.93 27.04 coins $13.21 18.87 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $18.93 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $18.94 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $18.59 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $18.82 | 90.92% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.87 | 90.90% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 11.0% mil spec 3.0% classified 43.0% restricted 25.0% consumer 18.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt