--- title: "Funfair case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Funfair ($62.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 26 items with odds, observed 69.23% over 88 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Funfair](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Funfair A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=all) Price · $62.24 · 88.91 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $56.58 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.23% · 88 openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 54 openings · below min 30 days · 88 openings · below min since tracking started · 88 openings · below min -0.5% 132.3% 265.0% **Small sample.** 88 openings and 8.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=24h) | 4 | 40.83% ±223.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=7d) | 54 | 66.17% ±61.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair) | 88 | 69.23% ±48.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funfair?window=all) | 88 | 69.23% ±48.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100,000 | $6,657 9,510 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 20,000 | $6,003 8,575 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,684 8,120 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,809 2,585 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,600 2,285 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife) | 1 in 667 | $1,054 1,505 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 400 | $899 1,285 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $883 1,261 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $827 1,182 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $760 1,086 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $555 793 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 200 | $365 522 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $263 375 coins | 4.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $218 311 coins | 4.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $204 292 coins | 2.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $134 192 coins | 5.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $99.40 142 coins | 3.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $81.90 117 coins | 6.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $77.70 111 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $39.24 56.06 coins | 5.5% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $37.61 53.73 coins | 12.0% | 17 | 15.8 | 1.07× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $35.33 50.47 coins | 3.1% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 12.0% | $34.79 49.7 coins | 7.4% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.04× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $33.53 47.9 coins | 4.1% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 19.7% | $19.03 27.19 coins | 6.6% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× | | [Souvenir AUG \| Condemned (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-well-worn) | 15.0% | $7.38 10.54 coins | 2.0% | 13 | 13.2 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=funfair) [P250 | Digital Architect (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-battle-scarred) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $37.61 53.73 coins 0.60x 2026-11-10 17:17 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Condemned (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-well-worn) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $7.38 10.54 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 17:17 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $19.03 27.19 coins 0.31x 2026-11-10 17:17 UTC [P250 | Digital Architect (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-battle-scarred) [north gang](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/north%20gang) $62.24 88.91 coins $37.61 53.73 coins 0.60x 2026-11-10 17:17 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $35.33 50.47 coins 0.57x 2026-11-10 00:18 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $19.03 27.19 coins 0.31x 2026-11-10 00:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $77.70 111 coins 1.25x 2026-11-10 00:18 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Condemned (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-well-worn) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $62.24 88.91 coins $7.38 10.54 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 00:18 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Condemned (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-well-worn) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $7.38 10.54 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) Hidden $62.24 88.91 coins $81.90 117 coins 1.32x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $62.24 | 90.91% | 26 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $61.76 | 90.90% | 26 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $62.39 | 90.91% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.1% legendary 0.0% base 0.5% extraordinary 12.7% classified 26.7% restricted 18.0% industrial 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt