--- title: "Fungi case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fungi ($304.33) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 104.43% over 388 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Fungi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Fungi A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=all) Price · $304.33 · 435 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $276.66 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.43% · 388 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 101.50% ±43.35 124 openings 7 days · 103.56% ±26.15 339 openings 30 days · 104.43% ±24.43 388 openings since tracking started · 104.43% ±24.43 388 openings 57.5% 101.5% 145.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=24h) | 124 | 101.50% ±43.3 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=7d) | 339 | 103.56% ±26.1 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi) | 388 | 104.43% ±24.4 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fungi?window=all) | 388 | 104.43% ±24.4 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 388 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $6,125 8,750 coins | 11.1% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.55× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $5,684 8,120 coins | 16.4% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $1,514 2,163 coins | 10.9% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1,411 2,015 coins | 6.1% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 12 | $923 1,318 coins | 28.3% | 46 | 33.0 | 1.39× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 20 | $806 1,152 coins | 14.6% | 20 | 19.4 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $566 809 coins | 8.2% | 14 | 15.5 | 0.90× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $398 569 coins | 4.3% | 13 | 11.6 | 1.12× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 86 | 97.0 | 0.89× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 98 | 97.0 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 94 | 97.0 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $304 435 coins $6,125 8,750 coins 20.13x 2026-11-10 15:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $311 444 coins $6,125 8,750 coins 19.71x 2026-11-06 16:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $311 444 coins $6,125 8,750 coins 19.71x 2026-11-04 21:21 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $311 444 coins $5,775 8,250 coins 18.59x 2026-11-03 22:18 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $304 435 coins $5,684 8,120 coins 18.68x 2026-11-10 15:52 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $304 435 coins $5,684 8,120 coins 18.68x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $311 444 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 5.01x 2026-11-05 18:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $304 435 coins $1,514 2,163 coins 4.98x 2026-11-10 14:24 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $304 435 coins $1,514 2,163 coins 4.98x 2026-11-10 14:22 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $304 435 coins $1,514 2,163 coins 4.98x 2026-11-10 14:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=fungi) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Pontus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pontus) $304 435 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $304 435 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $304 435 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $304 435 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $304 435 coins $923 1,318 coins 3.03x 2026-11-11 00:45 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) [achilles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/achilles) $304 435 coins $923 1,318 coins 3.03x 2026-11-11 00:45 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [achilles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/achilles) $304 435 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:44 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $304 435 coins $806 1,152 coins 2.65x 2026-11-11 00:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $304 435 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $304 435 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $304 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $304 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $311 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% legendary 2.0% extraordinary 3.0% consumer 75.0% best hit $6,125 (20.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt