---
title: "Furia case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Furia ($21.59) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 15 items with odds, observed 94.30% over 782 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Furia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Furia

A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=all)

Price · $21.59 · 30.84 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $19.62 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.30% · 782 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 13 openings · below min

7 days · 92.51% ±8.68 559 openings

30 days · 94.30% ±7.33 782 openings

since tracking started · 94.30% ±7.33 782 openings

36.5% 94.5% 152.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=24h) | 13 | 94.35% ±57.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=7d) | 559 | 92.51% ±8.68 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia) | 782 | 94.30% ±7.33 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/furia?window=all) | 782 | 94.30% ±7.33 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 786 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 2,500 | $204 291 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $202 288 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $98.70 141 coins | 5.0% | 5 | 7.9 | 0.64× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $77.70 111 coins | 0.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.70× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $74.20 106 coins | 26.5% | 53 | 55.0 | 0.96× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $64.57 92.24 coins | 1.6% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.27× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $54.19 77.42 coins | 5.5% | 26 | 15.7 | 1.65× |
| [Valeria Phoenix Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/valeria-phoenix-pin) | 1 in 20 | $41.94 59.92 coins | 10.7% | 40 | 39.3 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $39.73 56.76 coins | 16.2% | 67 | 62.9 | 1.07× |
| [Howl Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/howl-pin) | 1 in 25 | $35.01 50.02 coins | 7.1% | 35 | 31.4 | 1.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $18.20 26 coins | 7.4% | 73 | 62.9 | 1.16× |
| [Sticker \| FURIA (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-foil-katowice-2019) | 45.0% | $6.51 9.3 coins | 14.9% | 340 | 353.7 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.07 8.67 coins | 3.1% | 76 | 78.6 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir Nova \| Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $3.53 5.04 coins | 0.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.53 2.18 coins | 0.7% | 62 | 70.7 | 0.88× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=furia)

[Sticker | FURIA (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $6.51 9.3 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[Sticker | FURIA (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $6.51 9.3 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[Sticker | FURIA (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $6.51 9.3 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Red](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Red) $21.59 30.84 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[Howl Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/howl-pin) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $35.01 50.02 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 03:41 UTC

[SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $6.07 8.67 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 21:45 UTC

[Sticker | FURIA (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-foil-katowice-2019) [awp boby](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/awp%20boby) $21.59 30.84 coins $6.51 9.3 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $39.73 56.76 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 21:45 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $21.59 30.84 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.84x 2026-11-10 21:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $21.59 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.58 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.58 | 90.91% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 0.0% covert 16.7% industrial 21.3% extraordinary 9.0% mil spec 8.0% exotic 45.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt