---
title: "Gangster case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gangster ($16.39) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 90.20% over 1,475 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gangster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gangster

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=all)

Price · $16.39 · 23.42 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $14.90 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.20% · 1,475 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 34.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.02% ±6.22 416 openings

7 days · 90.48% ±3.34 1,383 openings

30 days · 90.20% ±3.23 1,475 openings

since tracking started · 90.20% ±3.23 1,475 openings

84.0% 91.0% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=24h) | 416 | 91.02% ±6.22 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=7d) | 1,383 | 90.48% ±3.34 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster) | 1,475 | 90.20% ±3.23 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gangster?window=all) | 1,475 | 90.20% ±3.23 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,475 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $83.30 119 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $79.80 114 coins | 1.3% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $65.21 93.15 coins | 2.2% | 9 | 7.4 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $61.54 87.92 coins | 3.1% | 8 | 11.1 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $33.61 48.02 coins | 2.3% | 12 | 14.8 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $32.65 46.64 coins | 13.1% | 103 | 88.5 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $21.74 31.06 coins | 11.7% | 133 | 118.0 | 1.13× |
| [Patch \| The Boss patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-the-boss) | 1 in 12 | $21.64 30.92 coins | 12.3% | 114 | 125.4 | 0.91× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $20.43 29.19 coins | 12.3% | 107 | 132.8 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $17.03 24.33 coins | 10.7% | 138 | 137.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Renegades (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 10 | $8.15 11.64 coins | 5.3% | 147 | 143.8 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 10.5% | $7.84 11.2 coins | 5.5% | 253 | 154.9 | 1.63× |
| [Sticker \| Global Elite (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite-foil) | 14.5% | $7.75 11.07 coins | 7.5% | 220 | 213.9 | 1.03× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 21.6% | $7.68 10.97 coins | 11.2% | 225 | 319.3 | 0.70× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gangster)

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-field-tested) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $21.74 31.06 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $7.84 11.2 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-field-tested) [gifu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/gifu) $16.39 23.42 coins $21.74 31.06 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC

[Sticker | Global Elite (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite-foil) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $7.75 11.07 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[Sticker | Global Elite (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite-foil) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $7.75 11.07 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[Sticker | Renegades (Foil) | London 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-foil-london-2018) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $8.15 11.64 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $7.84 11.2 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $16.39 23.42 coins $7.68 10.97 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[Sticker | Renegades (Foil) | London 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-foil-london-2018) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $8.15 11.64 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.39 23.42 coins $17.03 24.33 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.39 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.89 | 90.92% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 8.3% rare 0.3% covert 0.5% classified 9.8% restricted 10.3% Legendary 6.0% exotic 32.8% pink 10.5% industrial 21.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt