---
title: "Gauntlet case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gauntlet ($93.83) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 130.40% over 55 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gauntlet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gauntlet

A case on CSGORoll (gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=all)

Price · $93.83 · 134 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $85.30 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 130.40% · 55 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 37 openings · below min

30 days · 55 openings · below min

since tracking started · 55 openings · below min

69.5% 154.3% 239.0%

**Small sample.** 55 openings and 9.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=7d) | 37 | 164.78% ±73.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet) | 55 | 130.40% ±60.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gauntlet?window=all) | 55 | 130.40% ±60.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,033 2,905 coins | 9.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,724 2,463 coins | 10.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $193 275 coins | 11.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.73× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $153 219 coins | 5.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $107 153 coins | 8.8% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 10.0% | $84.00 120 coins | 9.8% | 7 | 5.5 | 1.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $82.60 118 coins | 9.7% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.45× |
| [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $63.06 90.09 coins | 7.4% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $62.86 89.8 coins | 3.7% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 10.0% | $50.27 71.81 coins | 5.9% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $32.64 46.63 coins | 3.8% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 13.5% | $22.79 32.56 coins | 3.6% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.13 1.62 coins | 0.2% | 12 | 8.3 | 1.45× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $2,033 2,905 coins 21.67x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $1,724 2,463 coins 18.38x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gauntlet)

[Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $1.13 1.62 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 02:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $84.00 120 coins 0.90x 2026-11-10 02:55 UTC

[XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $63.06 90.09 coins 0.67x 2026-11-10 02:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Pilot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-battle-scarred) [GAMASIAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GAMASIAK) $93.83 134 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.88x 2026-11-10 02:55 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $1,724 2,463 coins 18.38x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $2,033 2,905 coins 21.67x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

[MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $32.64 46.63 coins 0.35x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [GAMASIAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GAMASIAK) $93.83 134 coins $84.00 120 coins 0.90x 2026-11-10 02:54 UTC

[Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $1.13 1.62 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:25 UTC

[Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $93.83 134 coins $1.13 1.62 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 23:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $93.83 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $93.41 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $93.81 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $93.80 | 90.91% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 14.0% legendary 0.5% covert 17.0% classified 10.0% restricted 35.0% mil spec 10.0% violet 13.5% best hit $2,033 (21.67x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt