---
title: "Gentlemen case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gentlemen ($38.61) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 28 items with odds, observed 83.64% over 482 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gentlemen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gentlemen

A case on CSGORoll (knives, rifles, gloves, pistols), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=all)

Price · $38.61 · 55.15 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $35.10 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.64% · 482 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 64 openings · below min

7 days · 80.56% ±16.45 364 openings

30 days · 83.64% ±14.31 482 openings

since tracking started · 83.64% ±14.31 482 openings

58.5% 98.0% 137.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=24h) | 64 | 98.14% ±38.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=7d) | 364 | 80.56% ±16.5 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen) | 482 | 83.64% ±14.3 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gentlemen?window=all) | 482 | 83.64% ±14.3 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 482 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $706 1,008 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $587 838 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $561 801 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $546 780 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $401 573 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $309 441 coins | 5.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $255 364 coins | 1.5% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $248 354 coins | 7.1% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $235 336 coins | 5.4% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.56× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife) | 1 in 118 | $172 245 coins | 4.2% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $167 238 coins | 7.1% | 2 | 7.2 | 0.28× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $125 179 coins | 7.1% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $97.30 139 coins | 6.0% | 10 | 10.4 | 0.96× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $91.70 131 coins | 6.5% | 16 | 12.1 | 1.33× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers) | 1 in 38 | $88.20 126 coins | 6.5% | 8 | 12.5 | 0.64× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $77.00 110 coins | 4.6% | 9 | 10.1 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $41.84 59.77 coins | 5.0% | 26 | 20.2 | 1.28× |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $38.47 54.96 coins | 5.8% | 30 | 25.5 | 1.17× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $32.30 46.14 coins | 4.3% | 27 | 22.7 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $31.17 44.53 coins | 3.6% | 23 | 19.3 | 1.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $23.30 33.28 coins | 4.0% | 36 | 28.9 | 1.24× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $21.61 30.87 coins | 3.7% | 36 | 28.9 | 1.24× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $11.75 16.78 coins | 2.3% | 39 | 33.7 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $6.40 9.14 coins | 1.3% | 36 | 34.7 | 1.04× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.67 5.24 coins | 0.8% | 26 | 36.2 | 0.72× |
| [SSG 08 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $2.02 2.89 coins | 0.5% | 29 | 39.7 | 0.73× |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-factory-new) | 11.5% | $0.49 0.7 coins | 0.2% | 56 | 55.4 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 11.5% | $0.08 0.12 coins | 0.0% | 49 | 55.4 | 0.88× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gentlemen)

[MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-factory-new) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [wSe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/wSe) $38.61 55.15 coins $167 238 coins 4.32x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $21.61 30.87 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $11.75 16.78 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $248 354 coins 6.42x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $125 179 coins 3.25x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $235 336 coins 6.09x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) [El Gamblino 𝓜𝓐𝓕𝓘𝓐](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/El%20Gamblino%20%F0%9D%93%9C%F0%9D%93%90%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%98%F0%9D%93%90) $38.61 55.15 coins $23.30 33.28 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $6.40 9.14 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 07:15 UTC

[UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $38.61 55.15 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $38.61 | 90.91% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $38.61 | 90.91% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $38.26 | 90.91% | 28 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.91 | 90.91% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 16.9% extraordinary 0.6% epic 1.4% restricted 6.2% industrial 31.0% classified 10.7% mil spec 33.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt