--- title: "Ghosted case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ghosted ($12.83) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.91% over 20.8K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Ghosted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Ghosted A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=all) Price · $12.83 · 18.33 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.91% · 20.8K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.70% ±14.37 3,034 openings 7 days · 80.18% ±5.55 17K openings 30 days · 80.91% ±5.13 20.8K openings since tracking started · 80.91% ±5.13 20.8K openings 73.5% 88.5% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=24h) | 3,034 | 88.70% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=7d) | 17K | 80.18% ±5.55 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted) | 20.8K | 80.91% ±5.13 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ghosted?window=all) | 20.8K | 80.91% ±5.13 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.04x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.68 18.12 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.25x 2026-11-10 19:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.68 18.12 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.25x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [\`FluffyFlow⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%60FluffyFlow%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 18:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [Mivjoh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mivjoh) $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 18:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 18:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 09:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $12.66 18.09 coins $1,221 1,744 coins 96.41x 2026-11-09 01:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=ghosted) [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $12.71 18.16 coins $20.86 29.8 coins 1.64x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-carnivore-factory-new) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-carnivore-factory-new) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-factory-new) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $12.71 18.16 coins $2.22 3.17 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-factory-new) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $2.22 3.17 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-battle-scarred) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $12.71 18.16 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.71 18.16 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,221 (96.04x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.91 on average: an expected loss of $19.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt