---
title: "Gladiator case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gladiator ($8.18) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 13 items with odds, observed 90.58% over 9,835 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gladiator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gladiator

A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=all)

Price · $8.18 · 11.69 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $7.44 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.58% · 9,835 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 75.52% ±19.95 1,147 openings

7 days · 86.62% ±7.37 8,341 openings

30 days · 90.58% ±6.78 9,835 openings

since tracking started · 90.58% ±6.78 9,835 openings

55.0% 76.5% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=24h) | 1,147 | 75.52% ±20.0 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=7d) | 8,341 | 86.62% ±7.37 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator) | 9,835 | 90.58% ±6.78 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gladiator?window=all) | 9,835 | 90.58% ±6.78 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,857 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $377 539 coins | 5.1% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $277 396 coins | 14.9% | 32 | 39.4 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $156 223 coins | 8.4% | 38 | 39.4 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $115 164 coins | 6.2% | 38 | 39.4 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $74.90 107 coins | 40.3% | 421 | 394.3 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $36.05 51.5 coins | 5.8% | 122 | 118.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $8.94 12.77 coins | 6.0% | 528 | 492.9 | 1.07× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8.91 12.73 coins | 2.4% | 185 | 197.1 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $8.20 11.72 coins | 3.3% | 296 | 295.7 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $6.54 9.35 coins | 7.5% | 842 | 837.8 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 2,459 | 2464.3 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 2,454 | 2464.3 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,433 | 2464.3 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gladiator)

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $8.18 11.69 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $8.18 11.69 coins $6.54 9.35 coins 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $8.18 11.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $8.18 11.69 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $8.18 | 90.88% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $8.18 | 90.93% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $8.25 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.22 | 90.88% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.1% restricted 13.9% classified 6.6% covert 4.4% consumer 75.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt