---
title: "Glass case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Glass ($16.70) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 16 items with odds, observed 88.53% over 1,827 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Glass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Glass

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=all)

Price · $16.70 · 23.85 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $15.18 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.53% · 1,827 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 94.85% ±23.66 164 openings

7 days · 88.51% ±7.43 1,689 openings

30 days · 88.53% ±7.14 1,827 openings

since tracking started · 88.53% ±7.14 1,827 openings

70.5% 94.8% 119.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=24h) | 164 | 94.85% ±23.7 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=7d) | 1,689 | 88.51% ±7.43 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass) | 1,827 | 88.53% ±7.14 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/glass?window=all) | 1,827 | 88.53% ±7.14 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,827 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $409 584 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $248 355 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 10,000 | $193 276 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $153 218 coins | 2.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $126 180 coins | 2.5% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $97.30 139 coins | 1.9% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $78.40 112 coins | 41.3% | 134 | 146.2 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $76.30 109 coins | 15.1% | 62 | 54.8 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $63.09 90.13 coins | 4.2% | 7 | 18.3 | 0.38× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $16.24 23.2 coins | 6.4% | 104 | 109.6 | 0.95× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $13.97 19.96 coins | 3.7% | 73 | 73.1 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-factory-new) | 21.2% | $6.71 9.58 coins | 9.4% | 391 | 386.8 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $5.70 8.14 coins | 3.8% | 197 | 182.7 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 12.0% | $4.56 6.51 coins | 3.6% | 225 | 219.2 | 1.03× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 16.0% | $2.91 4.15 coins | 3.1% | 290 | 292.3 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $2.16 3.09 coins | 2.6% | 327 | 328.9 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=glass)

[Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) [BRÄTT \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BR%C3%84TT%20%3C3) $16.70 23.85 coins $2.16 3.09 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) [dropix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dropix) $16.70 23.85 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $78.40 112 coins 4.70x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $97.30 139 coins 5.83x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-factory-new) [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $16.70 23.85 coins $6.71 9.58 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.70 23.85 coins $2.16 3.09 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.70 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $16.66 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.70 | 90.90% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 16.0% covert 11.5% classified 5.3% mil spec 57.2% Classified 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt