---
title: "Global case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Global ($20.04) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 15 items with odds, observed 82.58% over 1,180 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Global](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Global

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=all)

Price · $20.04 · 28.63 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $18.22 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.58% · 1,180 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.54% ±29.30 187 openings

7 days · 82.78% ±12.25 1,060 openings

30 days · 82.58% ±11.61 1,180 openings

since tracking started · 82.58% ±11.61 1,180 openings

61.5% 91.5% 121.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=24h) | 187 | 91.54% ±29.3 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=7d) | 1,060 | 82.78% ±12.2 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global) | 1,180 | 82.58% ±11.6 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/global?window=all) | 1,180 | 82.58% ±11.6 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,180 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $692 989 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 250 | $331 473 coins | 7.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $183 261 coins | 5.0% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $158 226 coins | 4.3% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $112 160 coins | 18.4% | 36 | 35.4 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $78.40 112 coins | 21.5% | 52 | 59.0 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 G2A \| Katowice 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-g2a-katowice-2015) | 1 in 14 | $27.87 39.82 coins | 10.7% | 71 | 82.6 | 0.86× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $23.79 33.99 coins | 6.5% | 56 | 59.0 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $12.05 17.21 coins | 6.6% | 129 | 118.0 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $11.10 15.86 coins | 6.1% | 129 | 118.0 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| yuurih (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-gold-berlin-2019) | 10.0% | $5.26 7.51 coins | 2.9% | 123 | 118.0 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-well-worn) | 13.5% | $4.40 6.28 coins | 3.3% | 161 | 159.3 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-fuel-rod-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.39 4.84 coins | 1.9% | 120 | 118.0 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| NiKo \| Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-katowice-2019) | 10.0% | $2.97 4.25 coins | 1.6% | 108 | 118.0 | 0.92× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.08 coins | 0.0% | 183 | 177.0 | 1.03× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $20.20 28.86 coins $692 989 coins 34.27x 2026-11-05 05:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=global)

[Sticker | yuurih (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $5.26 7.51 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo | Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-katowice-2019) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $2.97 4.25 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[Sticker | yuurih (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-gold-berlin-2019) [Jan:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jan%3A%29) $20.04 28.63 coins $5.26 7.51 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[Sticker | yuurih (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $5.26 7.51 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $23.79 33.99 coins 1.19x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $23.79 33.99 coins 1.19x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[Sticker | yuurih (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $5.26 7.51 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-fuel-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $3.39 4.84 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo | Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-katowice-2019) [Jan:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jan%3A%29) $20.04 28.63 coins $2.97 4.25 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) Hidden $20.04 28.63 coins $23.79 33.99 coins 1.19x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.04 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $20.18 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.20 | 90.90% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% remarkable 0.4% covert 6.0% classified 18.0% high 17.0% restricted 33.5% extraordinary 10.0% industrial 15.0% best hit $692 (34.27x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt