--- title: "Godlike 1% case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Godlike 1% ($143.13) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 116.90% over 1,072 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent rendered: 2026-11-11T19:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Godlike 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Godlike 1% A case on CSGORoll (1%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=all) Price · $143.13 · 204 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $130.12 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 116.90% · 1,072 openings, odds method Variance · 207.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 667 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87 openings · below min 7 days · 954 openings · below min 30 days · 1,072 openings · below min since tracking started · 1,072 openings · below min 30.0% 381.3% 732.5% **Small sample.** 1,072 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=24h) | 87 | 429.38% ±302.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=7d) | 954 | 126.94% ±91.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent) | 1,072 | 116.90% ±86.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike-1percent?window=all) | 1,072 | 116.90% ±86.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,072 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 24.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 20.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $17.6K 25,125 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $14.4K 20,545 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $11.9K 17,000 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,880 12,685 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,808 9,725 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,657 9,510 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,643 9,490 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,125 8,750 coins | 2.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,600 8,000 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,655 6,650 coins | 1.8% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,025 5,750 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,802 2,575 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,474 2,105 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 33.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 364 | 353.8 | 1.03× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 33.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 369 | 353.8 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 33.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 326 | 353.8 | 0.92× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [ChickenDinner CSGORoll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ChickenDinner%20CSGORoll.com) $144 205 coins $63.7K 90,950 coins 443.6x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $143 204 coins $53.5K 76,380 coins 373.6x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) [pp hurt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/pp%20hurt) $144 205 coins $9,076 12,965 coins 63.24x 2026-11-07 18:10 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $143 204 coins $8,880 12,685 coins 62.04x 2026-11-08 15:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $144 205 coins $6,664 9,520 coins 46.43x 2026-11-06 22:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $144 205 coins $6,125 8,750 coins 42.68x 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [THIS IS MY JUICE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/THIS%20IS%20MY%20JUICE) $144 205 coins $6,125 8,750 coins 42.68x 2026-11-05 00:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $144 205 coins $6,062 8,660 coins 42.24x 2026-11-04 13:03 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $144 205 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 33.66x 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $144 205 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 33.66x 2026-11-06 23:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=godlike-1percent) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [m1dde](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1dde) $143 204 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 204 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $143 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $143 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $144 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% remarkable 0.1% contraband 0.1% covert 0.5% extraordinary 0.1% consumer 99.0% best hit $63.7K (443.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt