--- title: "Godlike case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Godlike ($48.21) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 18 items with odds, observed 91.81% over 157 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Godlike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Godlike A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=all) Price · $48.21 · 68.87 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $43.82 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.81% · 157 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 68.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 19 openings · below min 7 days · 80.96% ±26.78 123 openings 30 days · 91.81% ±23.73 157 openings since tracking started · 91.81% ±23.73 157 openings 15.5% 83.8% 152.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=24h) | 19 | 83.59% ±67.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=7d) | 123 | 80.96% ±26.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike) | 157 | 91.81% ±23.7 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/godlike?window=all) | 157 | 91.81% ±23.7 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 157 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,100 3,000 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,241 1,773 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $385 550 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $207 295 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $181 258 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $129 184 coins | 14.7% | 9 | 7.9 | 1.15× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $121 173 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $121 173 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $109 156 coins | 17.4% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.27× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $108 154 coins | 24.6% | 17 | 15.7 | 1.08× | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $78.40 112 coins | 10.7% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.74× | | [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 10.0% | $36.05 51.5 coins | 8.2% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $23.96 34.23 coins | 4.9% | 16 | 14.1 | 1.13× | | [Tec-9 \| Hades (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $12.52 17.89 coins | 2.9% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.62 6.6 coins | 1.1% | 11 | 15.7 | 0.70× | | [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.21 6.01 coins | 1.4% | 25 | 23.6 | 1.06× | | [AUG \| Daedalus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-battle-scarred) | 14.9% | $3.46 4.94 coins | 1.2% | 28 | 23.4 | 1.19× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=godlike) [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) [Tiny Tim.CsgoRoll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tiny%20Tim.CsgoRoll.com) $48.21 68.87 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $36.05 51.5 coins 0.75x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $78.40 112 coins 1.63x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $36.05 51.5 coins 0.75x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $108 154 coins 2.24x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [AUG | Daedalus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-battle-scarred) [ViggerMcNieger](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ViggerMcNieger) $48.21 68.87 coins $3.46 4.94 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $36.05 51.5 coins 0.75x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $108 154 coins 2.24x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC [Tec-9 | Hades (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.21 68.87 coins $12.52 17.89 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.21 | 90.90% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $47.70 | 90.91% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $48.53 | 90.91% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 18.0% classified 15.0% restricted 2.1% mil spec 16.0% industrial 19.0% Mil Spec 15.0% consumer 14.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt