--- title: "Gold Fever case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gold Fever ($1,023.60) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 8 items with odds, observed 211.27% over 11 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gold Fever](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gold Fever A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=all) Price · $1,023.60 · 1,462 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $930.55 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 211.27% · 11 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min 49.0% 411.5% 774.0% **Small sample.** 11 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=24h) | 2 | 496.99% ±276.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=7d) | 5 | 224.24% ±174.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever) | 11 | 211.27% ±117.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gold-fever?window=all) | 11 | 211.27% ±117.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.6K 15,130 coins | 11.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $8,887 12,695 coins | 27.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $6,542 9,345 coins | 21.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,288 1,840 coins | 13.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $1,047 1,495 coins | 5.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1,018 1,454 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 70.0% | $137 196 coins | 10.3% | 6 | 7.7 | 0.78× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,035 1,479 coins $10.8K 15,465 coins 10.46x 2026-11-03 06:00 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $8,887 12,695 coins 8.68x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $1,288 1,840 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 01:16 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,035 1,479 coins $1,053 1,504 coins 1.02x 2026-11-03 06:00 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $1,047 1,495 coins 1.02x 2026-11-08 23:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gold-fever) [AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $8,887 12,695 coins 8.68x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $1,288 1,840 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 01:16 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $137 196 coins 0.13x 2026-11-08 23:22 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,024 1,462 coins $1,047 1,495 coins 1.02x 2026-11-08 23:07 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,035 1,479 coins $145 207 coins 0.14x 2026-11-07 16:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,024 | 90.91% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,035 | 90.91% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 97.1% legendary 2.9% best hit $10.8K (10.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt