--- title: "Goliath case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Goliath ($6,832.20) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 64.18% over 9 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Goliath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Goliath A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=all) Price · $6,832.20 · 9,760 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $6,211.09 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.18% · 9 openings, odds method Variance · 7.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min -0.5% 124.0% 248.5% **Small sample.** 9 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=7d) | 9 | 64.18% ±183.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath) | 9 | 64.18% ±183.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goliath?window=all) | 9 | 64.18% ±183.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) #387 (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-387-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $700K 1,000,000 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Pascha sticker (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new-pascha-sticker-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $385K 550,000 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $210K 300,000 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) 4x Reason (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new-4x-reason-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $98K 140,000 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $38K 54,245 coins | 12.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $30.1K 42,950 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 31 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 13 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 26.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $17.6K 25,125 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $11.5K 16,375 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) | 80.0% | $190 271 coins | 2.4% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $38K 54,245 coins 5.57x 2026-11-08 15:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=goliath) [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,832 9,760 coins $190 271 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 20:19 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $38K 54,245 coins 5.57x 2026-11-08 15:57 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) [🟢LIVE kick/sn0wieTV GIVEAWAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2LIVE%20kick%2Fsn0wieTV%20GIVEAWAY) $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 15:56 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 03:35 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 00:46 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-05 19:01 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-05 18:59 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-05 18:59 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) Hidden $6,822 9,746 coins $179 255 coins 0.03x 2026-11-05 18:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $6,832 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6,822 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 4.8% remarkable 13.2% extraordinary 82.0% covert 0.1% best hit $38K (5.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt