--- title: "Goth case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Goth ($112.39) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 88.53% over 114 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Goth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Goth A case on CSGORoll (70%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=all) Price · $112.39 · 161 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $102.18 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.53% · 114 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 40.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 88.46% ±17.24 102 openings 30 days · 88.53% ±16.31 114 openings since tracking started · 88.53% ±16.31 114 openings 70.5% 88.5% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=7d) | 102 | 88.46% ±17.2 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth) | 114 | 88.53% ±16.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/goth?window=all) | 114 | 88.53% ±16.3 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,050 1,500 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $674 963 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $524 748 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $477 682 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $469 670 coins | 3.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $414 591 coins | 4.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $314 448 coins | 6.1% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.75× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $282 403 coins | 8.3% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $255 364 coins | 7.5% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $186 265 coins | 7.3% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $153 219 coins | 7.5% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $151 216 coins | 10.4% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-night-well-worn) | 16.0% | $145 207 coins | 22.7% | 13 | 18.2 | 0.71× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-field-tested) | 18.0% | $117 167 coins | 20.6% | 30 | 20.5 | 1.46× | | [Sticker \| Sherry(Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo-2) | 20.0% | $2.34 3.35 coins | 0.5% | 20 | 22.8 | 0.88× | | [Sticker \| Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) | 20.0% | $2.19 3.13 coins | 0.4% | 26 | 22.8 | 1.14× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=goth) [Sticker | Sherry(Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo-2) [🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20Activ3C0ma) $112 161 coins $2.34 3.35 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $112 161 coins $2.19 3.13 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $112 161 coins $117 167 coins 1.04x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-battle-scarred) Hidden $112 161 coins $153 219 coins 1.36x 2026-11-10 03:35 UTC [Sticker | Sherry(Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sherry-holo-2) Hidden $112 161 coins $2.34 3.35 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-night-well-worn) Hidden $112 161 coins $145 207 coins 1.29x 2026-11-10 03:29 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-field-tested) Hidden $112 161 coins $117 167 coins 1.04x 2026-11-10 03:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-night-well-worn) [🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20Activ3C0ma) $112 161 coins $145 207 coins 1.29x 2026-11-10 03:29 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $115 164 coins $2.29 3.27 coins 0.02x 2026-11-08 05:48 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $115 164 coins $2.29 3.27 coins 0.02x 2026-11-08 05:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $115 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 10.2% covert 37.1% epic 0.7% classified 8.0% restricted 4.0% remarkable 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt