--- title: "Grand Prix case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Grand Prix ($16.67) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 11 items with odds, observed 94.01% over 934 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix rendered: 2026-11-11T19:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Grand Prix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Grand Prix A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=all) Price · $16.67 · 23.81 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $15.15 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.01% · 934 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.90% ±15.95 327 openings 7 days · 97.67% ±11.17 668 openings 30 days · 94.01% ±9.44 934 openings since tracking started · 94.01% ±9.44 934 openings 81.5% 98.0% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=24h) | 327 | 97.90% ±16.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=7d) | 668 | 97.67% ±11.2 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix) | 934 | 94.01% ±9.44 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grand-prix?window=all) | 934 | 94.01% ±9.44 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 934 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $516 737 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $137 196 coins | 4.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.86× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 159 coins | 7.3% | 15 | 9.3 | 1.61× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $73.50 105 coins | 1.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $49.06 70.09 coins | 29.1% | 93 | 84.1 | 1.11× | | [MP7 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $39.78 56.83 coins | 6.6% | 28 | 23.4 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $19.12 27.31 coins | 5.0% | 39 | 37.4 | 1.04× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 12.0% | $11.98 17.11 coins | 9.5% | 88 | 112.1 | 0.79× | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-well-worn) | 20.0% | $9.88 14.12 coins | 13.0% | 172 | 186.8 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $9.28 13.26 coins | 15.3% | 247 | 233.5 | 1.06× | | [Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 25.6% | $2.77 3.96 coins | 4.7% | 244 | 239.1 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=grand-prix) [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $16.67 23.81 coins $2.77 3.96 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $2.77 3.96 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $49.06 70.09 coins 2.94x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $49.06 70.09 coins 2.94x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $9.28 13.26 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) [Patrick Star](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Patrick%20Star) $16.67 23.81 coins $49.06 70.09 coins 2.94x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $2.77 3.96 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $2.77 3.96 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $9.28 13.26 coins 0.56x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [Nova | Bloomstick (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-well-worn) Hidden $16.67 23.81 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.67 | 90.92% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $16.91 | 90.89% | 11 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $16.74 | 90.90% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.75 | 90.93% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.4% restricted 26.5% classified 45.0% mil spec 28.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt