--- title: "Grapple case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Grapple ($103.02) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 147.95% over 151 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Grapple](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Grapple A case on CSGORoll (gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=all) Price · $103.02 · 147 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $93.65 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 147.95% · 151 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 140.80% ±50.28 133 openings 30 days · 147.95% ±47.18 151 openings since tracking started · 147.95% ±47.18 151 openings -0.5% 154.5% 309.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.91% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (100.77% – 195.13%, 151 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=24h) | 6 | 71.73% ±237.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=7d) | 133 | 140.80% ±50.3 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple) | 151 | 147.95% ±47.2 | +2.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grapple?window=all) | 151 | 147.95% ±47.2 | +2.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 151 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $3,311 4,730 coins | 10.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,895 4,135 coins | 15.5% | 3 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,802 2,575 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $939 1,342 coins | 8.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $676 966 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $566 808 coins | 4.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $517 738 coins | 5.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $255 364 coins | 3.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $235 336 coins | 5.0% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.66× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $200 285 coins | 6.4% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.32× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $155 221 coins | 2.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $133 190 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $115 164 coins | 4.9% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $106 152 coins | 1.9% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $95.20 136 coins | 2.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $49.04 70.05 coins | 2.4% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.03× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $42.88 61.26 coins | 2.3% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.19× | | [Bloody Darryl The Strapped \| The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloody-darryl-the-strapped-the-professionals) | 14.0% | $27.05 38.65 coins | 4.0% | 21 | 21.1 | 0.99× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $26.36 37.66 coins | 1.7% | 11 | 9.1 | 1.21× | | [Jungle Rebel \| Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) | 19.2% | $18.51 26.45 coins | 3.8% | 24 | 29.0 | 0.83× | | [Special Agent Ava \| FBI agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/special-agent-ava-fbi) | 14.0% | $15.91 22.73 coins | 2.4% | 26 | 21.1 | 1.23× | | [Chef d'Escadron Rouchard \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/chef-descadron-rouchard-gendarmerie-nationale) | 16.0% | $15.58 22.26 coins | 2.7% | 20 | 24.2 | 0.83× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) [dr cheryll erwin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dr%20cheryll%20erwin) $103 148 coins $3,423 4,890 coins 33.13x 2026-11-07 08:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $103 148 coins $2,832 4,045 coins 27.40x 2026-11-07 08:44 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $103 148 coins $2,832 4,045 coins 27.40x 2026-11-06 23:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $103 148 coins $2,832 4,045 coins 27.40x 2026-11-04 11:10 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $103 147 coins $1,802 2,575 coins 17.50x 2026-11-10 09:46 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $103 148 coins $939 1,342 coins 9.09x 2026-11-06 14:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $103 148 coins $564 806 coins 5.46x 2026-11-05 17:10 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) [dr cheryll erwin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dr%20cheryll%20erwin) $103 148 coins $517 738 coins 5.00x 2026-11-07 08:38 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) Hidden $103 148 coins $517 738 coins 5.00x 2026-11-04 22:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=grapple) [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $18.51 26.45 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $18.51 26.45 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $18.51 26.45 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $95.20 136 coins 0.92x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [Chef d'Escadron Rouchard | Gendarmerie Nationale agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/chef-descadron-rouchard-gendarmerie-nationale) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $15.58 22.26 coins 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [Bloody Darryl The Strapped | The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloody-darryl-the-strapped-the-professionals) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $27.05 38.65 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $18.51 26.45 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-well-worn) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $26.36 37.66 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) [Lucky Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lucky%20Buddha) $103 147 coins $235 336 coins 2.28x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) Hidden $103 147 coins $42.88 61.26 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 0.3% legendary 1.7% extraordinary 33.5% rare 1.4% superior 14.0% distinguished 19.2% master 30.0% best hit $3,423 (33.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt