--- title: "Gravedigger case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gravedigger ($9.81) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.94% from 20 items with odds, observed 87.40% over 28.5K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Gravedigger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Gravedigger A case on CSGORoll (15%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=all) Price · $9.81 · 14.01 coins Advertised RTP · 90.94% · EV $8.92 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.40% · 28.5K openings, odds method Variance · 33.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 81 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.38% ±17.98 3,922 openings 7 days · 87.43% ±7.27 24.4K openings 30 days · 87.40% ±6.73 28.5K openings since tracking started · 87.40% ±6.73 28.5K openings 66.0% 84.5% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=24h) | 3,922 | 84.38% ±18.0 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=7d) | 24.4K | 87.43% ±7.27 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger) | 28.5K | 87.40% ±6.73 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/gravedigger?window=all) | 28.5K | 87.40% ±6.73 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.5K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,198 3,140 coins | 4.9% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,076 2,965 coins | 2.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,123 1,604 coins | 2.5% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 3.5% | 5 | 8.6 | 0.58× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $502 717 coins | 3.4% | 16 | 17.1 | 0.93× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $436 623 coins | 12.2% | 67 | 71.3 | 0.94× | | [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $309 442 coins | 3.5% | 29 | 28.5 | 1.02× | | [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $307 438 coins | 8.6% | 68 | 71.3 | 0.95× | | [Souvenir P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $166 237 coins | 9.3% | 157 | 142.6 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $118 169 coins | 6.6% | 139 | 142.6 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $73.50 105 coins | 8.2% | 269 | 285.3 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $36.23 51.76 coins | 9.2% | 642 | 644.7 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $26.91 38.44 coins | 3.0% | 302 | 285.3 | 1.06× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $20.20 28.86 coins | 6.8% | 831 | 855.8 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $19.94 28.48 coins | 3.4% | 456 | 427.9 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Curse (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $18.72 26.75 coins | 6.3% | 865 | 855.8 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.20 16 coins | 1.3% | 276 | 285.3 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-bone-mask-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $2.51 3.58 coins | 0.1% | 144 | 142.6 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 42.5% | $0.52 0.75 coins | 2.5% | 12,150 | 12124.0 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 42.5% | $0.50 0.71 coins | 2.4% | 12,099 | 12124.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $2,331 3,330 coins 232.1x 2026-11-06 17:56 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $2,331 3,330 coins 232.1x 2026-11-06 17:26 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $2,331 3,330 coins 232.1x 2026-11-03 17:40 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $2,198 3,140 coins 224.1x 2026-11-10 18:40 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $2,076 2,965 coins 211.6x 2026-11-09 14:02 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $2,009 2,870 coins 200.0x 2026-11-06 17:54 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $2,009 2,870 coins 200.0x 2026-11-03 23:24 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Hyper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Hyper) $10.05 14.35 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 116.2x 2026-11-06 02:44 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $10.05 14.35 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 116.2x 2026-11-05 11:53 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $1,123 1,604 coins 114.5x 2026-11-09 18:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=gravedigger) [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) [Santa Sniper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Santa%20Sniper) $9.81 14.01 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $9.81 | 90.94% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.80 | 90.88% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.79 | 90.88% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.05 | 90.90% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.4% classified 2.6% restricted 88.8% mil spec 2.3% blue 3.0% industrial 1.5% Mythical 1.0% consumer 0.5% best hit $2,331 (232.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.94 on average: an expected loss of $9.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt