---
title: "Greenfingers case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Greenfingers ($64.66) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 24 items with odds, observed 87.31% over 196 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Greenfingers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Greenfingers

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=all)

Price · $64.66 · 92.37 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $58.78 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.31% · 196 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 22 openings · below min

7 days · 86.07% ±19.77 148 openings

30 days · 87.31% ±17.19 196 openings

since tracking started · 87.31% ±17.19 196 openings

21.0% 72.8% 124.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=24h) | 22 | 72.84% ±51.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=7d) | 148 | 86.07% ±19.8 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers) | 196 | 87.31% ±17.2 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/greenfingers?window=all) | 196 | 87.31% ±17.2 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 196 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,311 4,730 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,546 2,209 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $888 1,269 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $533 762 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $465 664 coins | 11.9% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $421 601 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $410 585 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $403 575 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $197 281 coins | 3.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 2,000 | $194 277 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $193 275 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 50 | $146 208 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 10.0% | $84.00 120 coins | 14.3% | 17 | 19.6 | 0.87× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $79.10 113 coins | 3.4% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $66.68 95.26 coins | 2.9% | 2 | 5.1 | 0.39× |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) | 15.0% | $65.65 93.78 coins | 16.8% | 30 | 29.4 | 1.02× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $64.17 91.67 coins | 5.5% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.33× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 2.7% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 10.0% | $43.81 62.59 coins | 7.5% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $42.19 60.27 coins | 5.0% | 17 | 13.7 | 1.24× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 10.0% | $39.71 56.73 coins | 6.8% | 18 | 19.6 | 0.92× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 10.0% | $27.90 39.86 coins | 4.7% | 19 | 19.6 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 10.0% | $27.10 38.71 coins | 4.6% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 10.0% | $7.68 10.97 coins | 1.3% | 23 | 19.6 | 1.17× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=greenfingers)

[★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $64.17 91.67 coins 0.99x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $39.71 56.73 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) [Medical Shit](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Medical%20Shit) $64.66 92.37 coins $84.00 120 coins 1.30x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) [babylaffytaffy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/babylaffytaffy) $64.66 92.37 coins $27.90 39.86 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC

[Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $65.65 93.78 coins 1.02x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

[Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $65.65 93.78 coins 1.02x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $42.19 60.27 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $39.71 56.73 coins 0.61x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.66 92.37 coins $42.19 60.27 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) [Pekkatron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pekkatron) $64.66 92.37 coins $66.68 95.26 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $64.66 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $66.35 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $66.61 | 90.91% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 27.9% restricted 11.5% extraordinary 5.6% industrial 25.0% classified 20.0% mil spec 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt