--- title: "Grim V2 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Grim V2 ($784.73) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 162.89% over 82 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Grim V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Grim V2 A case on CSGORoll (partners), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=all) Price · $784.73 · 1,121 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $713.39 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 162.89% · 82 openings, odds method Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 78 openings · below min 30 days · 82 openings · below min since tracking started · 82 openings · below min 90.5% 160.8% 231.0% **Small sample.** 82 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=7d) | 78 | 171.24% ±59.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2) | 82 | 162.89% ±57.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grim-v2?window=all) | 82 | 162.89% ±57.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $14.4K 20,545 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.8K 18,291 coins | 9.0% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $10.6K 15,130 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 143 | $8,057 11,510 coins | 7.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $7,336 10,480 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,808 9,725 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $6,573 9,390 coins | 4.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $6,188 8,840 coins | 9.5% | 4 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 286 | $6,125 8,750 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $5,600 8,000 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $5,156 7,365 coins | 9.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $5,023 7,175 coins | 9.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 91 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 67 | $2,177 3,110 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $1,523 2,175 coins | 3.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $1,288 1,840 coins | 3.2% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.79× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,018 1,454 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $963 1,376 coins | 3.4% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $517 739 coins | 1.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 26 | 24.6 | 1.06× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 11 | 20.5 | 0.54× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 22 | 20.5 | 1.07× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $12.8K 18,291 coins 16.09x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $12.8K 18,291 coins 16.09x 2026-11-04 21:58 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $10.8K 15,465 coins 13.61x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $796 1,137 coins $8,057 11,510 coins 10.13x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $796 1,137 coins $6,654 9,505 coins 8.36x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $6,654 9,505 coins 8.36x 2026-11-04 21:59 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $6,605 9,435 coins 8.30x 2026-11-04 22:06 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $796 1,137 coins $6,605 9,435 coins 8.30x 2026-11-04 21:58 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $6,605 9,435 coins 8.30x 2026-11-04 21:58 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $796 1,137 coins $6,605 9,435 coins 8.30x 2026-11-04 21:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=grim-v2) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $10.8K 15,465 coins 13.61x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $985 1,407 coins 1.24x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $547 782 coins 0.69x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $796 1,137 coins $6,654 9,505 coins 8.36x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $796 1,137 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $785 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $785 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $796 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.1% contraband 1.5% covert 12.2% legendary 4.3% extraordinary 2.0% consumer 80.0% best hit $12.8K (16.09x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt