--- title: "Grip case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Grip ($106.18) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 22 items with odds, observed 105.41% over 46 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Grip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Grip A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=all) Price · $106.18 · 152 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $96.53 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.41% · 46 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 48.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 46 openings · below min since tracking started · 46 openings · below min 45.5% 127.0% 208.5% **Small sample.** 46 openings and 13.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=24h) | 8 | 126.95% ±80.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=7d) | 34 | 112.55% ±39.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip) | 46 | 105.41% ±34.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/grip?window=all) | 46 | 105.41% ±34.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 1,333 | $3,815 5,450 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,373 1,961 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $419 599 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 357 | $390 557 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $360 514 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $347 495 coins | 1.1% | 2 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 154 | $301 430 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $293 419 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $264 377 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $238 340 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $179 256 coins | 6.7% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.42× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $179 255 coins | 4.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $175 250 coins | 1.5% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $174 249 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $146 209 coins | 16.7% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.78× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $123 176 coins | 8.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Graven (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-factory-new) | 22.0% | $109 156 coins | 24.9% | 8 | 10.1 | 0.79× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $99.40 142 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $54.97 78.53 coins | 2.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 22.0% | $36.88 52.69 coins | 8.4% | 5 | 10.1 | 0.49× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $36.40 52 coins | 6.8% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.85× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $35.64 50.92 coins | 1.1% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.17× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=grip) [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 152 coins $123 176 coins 1.16x 2026-11-11 03:20 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) Hidden $106 152 coins $36.40 52 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 03:20 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $106 152 coins $35.64 50.92 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 03:20 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) [FaLLouT'z](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FaLLouT'z) $106 152 coins $146 209 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 03:20 UTC [P250 | Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) Hidden $106 152 coins $36.88 52.69 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $106 152 coins $175 250 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [★ Karambit | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $106 152 coins $347 495 coins 3.26x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [FaLLouT'z](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FaLLouT'z) $106 152 coins $179 255 coins 1.68x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [MAC-10 | Graven (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-factory-new) Hidden $106 152 coins $109 156 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 02:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Graven (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-factory-new) Hidden $106 152 coins $109 156 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 02:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $106 | 90.91% | 22 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $107 | 90.91% | 22 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $108 | 90.91% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.8% legendary 0.2% restricted 34.2% extraordinary 0.1% classified 25.6% mil spec 12.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt